Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)

[Fusionmunster]

Any news on the turnout yet?

Apparently turnout is high in Charleston, but early and absentee voting was also quite high. Come on, time for a CLINTON UPSET!

As benchmark has said, any turnout is good for Sanders. West Virginia is just a great fit for him demographically.

[Fusionmunster]

If the early exit info is accurate, Clinton is going to be vaporized.

As expected, still early voting is high which scewed exit polls in Indiana.

[Fusionmunster]

Yeah Clinton's probably not breaking 40% with these numbers.

Those 3 in 10 democrats voting for Trump number makes me wonder how high the other dem candidates are going to get tonight.

[Fusionmunster]

1/2 of Sanders voters would back Trump over Clinton.

This is why closed primaries are a must

It is a closed primary.

It is semi-closed.

[Fusionmunster]

I'd say there's a decent chance Clinton comes in third.

I don't think it'll be that bad. That "27% Continue Obamas policies" should get her a second place.

[Fusionmunster]

I know I mentioned this but the early exits in Indiana did not take into account early voters, is it the same here? That could boost Hillary somewhat.

[Fusionmunster]

Hillary is pretty unpopular in WV, so it makes sense that a lot  Bernie supporters would have Trump as their 2nd choice, and vice versa.

39% of Sanders voters have Trump as their first choice actually.

[Fusionmunster]

I know I mentioned this but the early exits in Indiana did not take into account early voters, is it the same here? That could boost Hillary somewhat.

The first exit polls in Indiana had Sanders up 53-47 IIRC and the final was Sanders 52.5-47.5.

Are you sure? I could have sworn the first exits were showing a Sanders +10 win.

[Fusionmunster]

[Fusionmunster]

Image doesn't show up normally. But damn, Hillary with the amazing 11 point lead..... among Democrats. Ouch.

As I said last page, when 39% of Sanders voters are voting for Trump in the general it speaks more of West Virginia and less of Hillary.

[Fusionmunster]

Did they release Sanders-Trump numbers among Democratic voters?

If they made a graph, it hasn't been released yet.

[Fusionmunster]

In the general:
Sander's voters will vote for
44% Trump
31% Neither
23% Clinton

[Fusionmunster]

Hillary in third place in exit polls according to a tweet.

That would be more sad than funny.

[Fusionmunster]

CNN just made reference to KRJ getting 40% of the primary vote and carrying 10 counties against Obama in 2012

Uhm, I don't think it will be but this could be an embarrassing night for both Hillary and Bernie.

[Fusionmunster]

Sanders with 57.41 in the exit poll.

If thats right Benchmark nailed it.

[Fusionmunster]

Its probably just early/absentee votes.

[Fusionmunster]

CNN is calling this a "tight race".

Gotta get those ratings.

[Fusionmunster]

I'm really hoping that WV keeps its trend of never picking my choice for president. If Sanders wins here, it'll look bad for him, and it would hurt my pride. LET'S GO, HILLDAWG! COME FROM BEHIND WIN IN WV!!

I'm sorry to disappoint you, but it looks as if West Virginia is yours.  

I'm still holding out hope that Charleston comes through for her...

Charleston isnt that big.

[Fusionmunster]

Clinton lead in Kanawha County now just 48-45. Look like the primary map is even more ruined now.

Its gonna be super ugly if Hillary wins Kentucky.

[Fusionmunster]

Clinton lead in Kanawha County now just 48-45. Look like the primary map is even more ruined now.

Kentucky needs to vote Bernie now to keep continuity.

I'd wager Hillary takes Kentucky. Since its super closed and Hillary managed to win Democrats in WV, the map is gonna be ugly.

[Fusionmunster]

Clinton lead in Kanawha County now just 48-45. Look like the primary map is even more ruined now.

Kentucky needs to vote Bernie now to keep continuity.

I'd wager Hillary takes Kentucky. Since its super closed and Hillary managed to win Democrats in WV, the map is gonna be ugly.

The exit poll voter ID is based on self-identification, not registration. Plenty of dems counted as Independent in the exit polls are registered democrats.

Regardless, Hillary continues her streak of winning democrats, "self-identifying" or otherwise.

[Fusionmunster]

I almost expected her to do worse.

When the exit polling came out, I was expecting at least a 20 point loss. In reality, she's not doing terrible. Sanders is only going to be picking up about 4 or 5 delegates tonight.