Trump's very consistent 42% in the polls.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I'm noticing a trend recently.  While Hillary's numbers are all over the place (anywhere from 39% to 49%) in swing states and nationally, Trump is very consistently within a few points of 42%.  Here are some recent examples:

FL      42%      Qunnipiac
OH      43%      Qunnipiac
PA      42%      Qunnipiac
Gen.      41%      PPP
GA      41%      WSB/Landmark
NC      40%      Civitas

And a quick review of ALL the recent national polls, Trump reads 41, 41, 41, 40, 38, 39, 43, 41, 39, 40 , 41.  Clinton is all over the map.

Does Trump have a national ceiling?  I mean, he does really well in places where he obviously has an advantage (49% in Indiana, 57% in West Virginia), and really badly in places like Mass. and Vermont.  But have we reached Trump saturation?  Have all the people who are going to vote for him already made up their minds?  Are significant undecideds out there going to break Trump's way?

[ElectionsGuy]

I think there's definitely room to grow for him among undecided Republicans who currently dislike him. He can get up to 45 or 46%. Really hard to get beyond that.

[Nyvin]

Probably the polls will get a lot more consistent after the conventions and once there's more polls out with "likely" voters.   I think Trump does have a hard ceiling at some point or another, not sure where though.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I think there's definitely room to grow for him among undecided Republicans who currently dislike him. He can get up to 45 or 46%. Really hard to get beyond that.

Clinton has polled as high as 54, meanwhile, but that seems really high, even with significant portions of undecideds going her way.  Clinton 51, Trump 45 might be what we're headed for.

We've been bombarded by the media with SO MUCH Trump, I have this feeling everyone's already made up their mind on him.

[Maxwell]

This is dangerously close to the Republican establishment saying HIS CEILING IS 35% or whatever they were saying for the longest time.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

It's still a very early stage and Trump, technically speaking, is yet to clinch the nomination. It will get narrower.

[Ljube]

If I had a nickel every time someone said Trump and ceiling in the same sentence.

[SillyAmerican]

This is dangerously close to the Republican establishment saying HIS CEILING IS 35% or whatever they were saying for the longest time.

Yes. At some point, people will begin to acknowledge that the campaign being run by Donald Trump is a completely new animal, something that's never been seen before. Remember, we are still 6 months out; based on early polling done in previous years, a lot of movement can and will occur. And understand that absolutely nobody would have been willing to predict that Donald Trump would nail down being the presumptive GOP nominee ahead of Hillary Clinton being the presumptive Dem nominee. Nobody. So so much for all you prognosticators out there...

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

This is dangerously close to the Republican establishment saying HIS CEILING IS 35% or whatever they were saying for the longest time.

It kinda was until his nomination started to become an inevitability, and supporters of other candidates stopped showing up at the polls.  Primaries work like that. The general doesn't.

[Illiniwek]

I think there's definitely room to grow for him among undecided Republicans who currently dislike him. He can get up to 45 or 46%. Really hard to get beyond that.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

Looks like in blue collar states like WV more Bernie supporters would go for Trump than Clinton:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/279430-nearly-half-of-sanders-voters-in-west-virginia-would-vote

[Gustaf]

Looks like in blue collar states like WV more Bernie supporters would go for Trump than Clinton:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/279430-nearly-half-of-sanders-voters-in-west-virginia-would-vote

WV is not a great example since it's a state full of Republican voting Democrats. The D primary had significantly higher turnout in spite of the state being safely GOP for the general.