UK 1974: Heath remains in power

[Kingpoleon]

IMO, the most likely scenario is him holding onto his 297 seats in April, adding, say, six, and then the Liberal Democrats getting about twenty seats to prop him up. That gives him 323 seats, alongside UUP and DUP probably giving him about seven more confidence votes.

[Kingpoleon]

then the Liberal Democrats getting about twenty seats to prop him up.

Good luck with that, as no such party existed then.

*Liberals

Yeah, IceAge, the unionist parties plus the Liberals is the only way to get a majority leadership. The February elections would have had 311 votes in a Tory/Liberal government or 315 in a Labour/Liberal government. I suppose the only way to win the October elections is for the Conservatives to not contest Liberal vulnerable seats really and vice versa. They could probably get to 325, seven votes over what they might need.