Reuters junk poll: Clinton up 4, too many undecideds (user search)
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  Reuters junk poll: Clinton up 4, too many undecideds (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reuters junk poll: Clinton up 4, too many undecideds  (Read 1248 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: May 14, 2016, 09:50:13 PM »

Since we're now apparently taking Reuters seriously, I figured I'd post this. Smiley

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=15580

Clinton 41
Trump 37
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2016, 09:59:41 PM »

I'm beginning to wonder if Trump will ever lead nationally.  If Reuters won't show him leading, then who will?

Rasmussen has him leading by 2.

Oh right, I forgot about Scotty.  Maybe I should put it this way: will a good pollster ever show him leading?

The best bets for that would be after the RNC or directly after the media spams a Hillary faux scandal for weeks.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2016, 12:46:59 AM »

I'm beginning to wonder if Trump will ever lead nationally.  If Reuters won't show him leading, then who will?

Rasmussen has him leading by 2.

Oh right, I forgot about Scotty.  Maybe I should put it this way: will a good pollster ever show him leading?

Define good pollster.

Hm, there aren't too many good ones left, are there?  Monmoth, Marist, and PPP are a few examples of good ones that come to mind.  I'm sure there are more, though.

This primary cycle has been brutal for polling in general. Even the good ones like Monmouth, Marist, Marquette, Selzer, etc. have had some yuge misses.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2016, 03:03:30 PM »

Well, a lot of undecided voters may be true since both candidates have poor favorability ratings in the whole electorate.

Fake undecideds maybe. Both parties are guaranteed 45% just for showing up.
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