Was choosing Philadelphia for the Democratic National Convention a masterstroke?

[Sbane]

I think this election comes down to Pennsylvania. The only place in the country I see Trump having strength is the industrial midwest and the northeast. Clinton can lose Ohio and still win. Michigan is too democratic to matter. The election is already lost if Clinton is losing Michigan. Virginia and Colorado, the other potential tipping point states, seem to be anti-Trump. Florida may be a future tipping point state but I don't think it will be in 2016. Trump will need to win Pennsylvania if he wants the presidency but the DNC should fire up Democrats in the Philadelphia area. I don't think it's a complete game changer, but it's worth a point or two. If the election is close, that could be the difference.

[IceSpear]

Yes (biased)

[This account no longer in use.]

Yes, but only because Philadelphia is an amazing city.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

In 2012, the parties won each other's convention states.

[This account no longer in use.]

In 2012, the parties won each other's convention states.

Your point being?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm not convinced holding the convention in a state helps win that state. It's not even backed up historical precedent.

[Wisconsin+17]

When compared to choosing Salt Lake City?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Her support comes from Philly. Allies like Rendell & Casey JR can be assets going into General election

[Mr. Smith]

Nah, they shoulda' gone for Columbus

[Mallow]

I used to be on the "why on Earth would Trump win Pennsylvania bandwagon," but after further consideration, I actually agree with you. I, too, think PA will be the tipping-point state. I even think PA could have a R+2 PVI this election. Of course, if Clinton is winning nationally be 5 points or so, there will be closer states. But Clinton and Trump both need PA for a reasonable electoral path to victory (though Clinton has a potential backup in FL).

[Seneca]

I'm not convinced holding the convention in a state helps win that state. It's not even backed up historical precedent.

This election in particular, the conventions might have the opposite effect on the metro areas they are held in than conventional wisdom would predict. Word on the street is that there will be a lot of ruckus happening outside of each convention.

[Statilius the Epicurean]

CO, IA and VA aren't good states for Trump. He either has to win two of those or win PA.

[Sbane]

I'm not convinced holding the convention in a state helps win that state. It's not even backed up historical precedent.

Like I said, it might be worth a point or two. I think something like that happened in Colorado in 2008. Or maybe it was because the state hadn't been truly contested in a long time. It is hard to measure whether there is such an effect, but in a close election, even small movements could be crucial. And in a place like Philadelphia, where increasing turnout is the key, having the DNC in town could help.

[NeverAgain]

Yes, I'm glad they chose our nation's first capital vs. the nation's first crapshoot (sorry Cleveland).

[Stranger in a strange land]

I'm not convinced holding the convention in a state helps win that state. It's not even backed up historical precedent.

Yes, I never understood why people think snarling up traffic in a large city for a week in the middle of the summer and holding an event that draws in crazies from all over the country who come to protest is supposed to make people MORE likely to vote for you.

[Vega]

Yes, but only because Philadelphia is an amazing city.

I hope this is sarcasm.

[This account no longer in use.]

No, it isn't.

[Nym90]

There is almost no correlation historically between the "trend" in a state and a party holding its convention there. In fact for the Republicans, it is a slightly negative correlation. I could make a joke about how seeing Republicans up close and personal tends to repel voters, but I'll pass.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/republicans-choice-to-hold-2016-convention-in-cleveland-probably-wont-help-them-in-ohio/

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

When the Dem convention erupts in chaos and potentially rioting, I doubt proximity will be a positive.

Of course, the same goes for the GOP and Cleveland.

[Kingpoleon]

CO, IA and VA aren't good states for Trump. He either has to win two of those or win PA.

270 Trump

[Dr. Arch]

CO, IA and VA aren't good states for Trump. He either has to win two of those or win PA.

270 Trump

TN Volunteer will not like this map.

Edit: DANG HE'S FAST.

[Adam Griffin]

Should've been in ATL so I could just commute each day instead of relying upon overpriced accommodations.

[ProudModerate2]

The advantage is tiny.
The PA vote would need to be so close (towards Hillary), that most people will just overlook this as nothing.

[Ebsy]

Should've been in ATL so I could just commute each day instead of relying upon overpriced accommodations.

The last one was in the south (Charlotte), and finding union friendly businesses/contractors was apparently a pain.

[This account no longer in use.]

Should've been in ATL so I could just commute each day instead of relying upon overpriced accommodations.

It's a shame it won't be in Boston for a while, and the Republicans probably won't go to Boston either.