Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 24385 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 17, 2016, 03:26:52 AM »
Kentucky polls are open from 6am to 6pm local time.  But since the state is split between time zones, 6pm local time is 6pm ET in part of the state, and 7pm ET in the rest of it.

Oregon is vote by mail, but ballots are due to be received by 8pm PT, which is 11pm ET.

No exit polls this week.

Kentucky
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ky/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/kentucky

Oregon
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/or/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/oregon
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 03:28:28 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on May 16, 2016, 10:10:11 AM
Map of the timezone split in Kentucky:
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 07:41:27 AM »
Are you feeling the Bern yet?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 09:50:57 AM »
Bernie has been losing steam lately.  I think Hillary might win both states.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2016, 09:52:07 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on May 17, 2016, 09:50:57 AM
Bernie has been losing steam lately.  I think Hillary might win both states.

Winning two states in upsetting margins is hardly "losing steam" IMO.
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VPH
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2016, 10:55:43 AM »
Wonder how well Bernie does in coal country. Probably crushes Clinton there.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2016, 11:14:22 AM »
KY
Clinton 54
Sanders 44

Oregon
Sanders 63
Clinton 36
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2016, 12:05:10 PM »
Sanders is already giving excuses for his performance in Oregon.

http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/oregon-bernie-sanders-primary-restrictions/
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2016, 12:07:17 PM »

Eh it's just the same thing he says before every primary.
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2016, 12:12:54 PM »

He does? Not "we hope to do well in x state"?
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2016, 12:32:28 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2016, 12:37:46 PM by Admiral Kizaru »

Remember, when he wins it's a political revolution but when he loses the system is rigged against him.


Anyway, despite tampering expectations I still fully expect for him to win in Oregon. Portland is basically Sanders country.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2016, 12:45:31 PM »
Forecast roundup:
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2016, 12:48:28 PM »

One of these models includes facebook likes. Guess which?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2016, 01:04:31 PM »
So benchmark is saying turnout in Portland is terrible. It might not hold though, people have till the end of the day to turn in there ballots.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2016, 01:04:57 PM »
rofl lmao Tyler Pedigo

Then again, if turnout is bad I suspect Sanders is going to win.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2016, 01:06:05 PM »
Clinton will win Ky. I want to see how she does in the suburbs of Lexington and Louisville.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2016, 01:08:05 PM »
So heres something shocking...


Hillary actually outspent Bernie in Kentucky.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2016, 01:09:54 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on May 17, 2016, 01:04:31 PM
So benchmark is saying turnout in Portland is terrible. It might not hold though, people have till the end of the day to turn in there ballots.
considering the voting trends so far Bernie was far stronger in all rural counties in WA and similar states while being weaker in the big cities, so that's not such a bad thing.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2016, 01:11:44 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2016, 01:14:11 PM by Fusionmunster »
Quote from: Hnv1 on May 17, 2016, 01:09:54 PM
Quote from: Fusionmunster on May 17, 2016, 01:04:31 PM
So benchmark is saying turnout in Portland is terrible. It might not hold though, people have till the end of the day to turn in there ballots.
considering the voting trends so far Bernie was far stronger in all rural counties in WA and similar states while being weaker in the big cities, so that's not such a bad thing.

It depends on who your rooting for. Oregon is weird. Portland should be one of Sanders strongest areas so if turnout is bad, it might show a closer than expected race.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2016, 01:15:46 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on May 17, 2016, 12:48:28 PM

One of these models includes facebook likes. Guess which?

The DHM poll? Tongue
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Ebsy
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« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2016, 01:19:49 PM »
The thing to watch about Oregon (and Kentucky) is that it seems like the electorate turning out in both states is very old.
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Bigby
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« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2016, 01:29:05 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on May 17, 2016, 01:19:49 PM
The thing to watch about Oregon (and Kentucky) is that it seems like the electorate turning out in both states is very old.

Even moreso than normal?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2016, 01:36:33 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on May 17, 2016, 01:29:05 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on May 17, 2016, 01:19:49 PM
The thing to watch about Oregon (and Kentucky) is that it seems like the electorate turning out in both states is very old.

Even moreso than normal?

In Kentucky apparently, the universities are out for summer and turnout is way down on college campuses.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: May 17, 2016, 01:38:21 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2016, 01:43:48 PM by Gass3268 »
I really think that Clinton is going to struggle to overcome her huge disadvantages in coal country, which in Kentucky is both in the eastern and western parts of the state, to pull out a win.

Exhibit A:
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mds32
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« Reply #24 on: May 17, 2016, 01:39:49 PM »
Kentucky
Clinton 55%
Sanders 45%

Oregon
Sanders 62%
Clinton 38%
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