Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 24287 times)
jaichind
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« Reply #150 on: May 17, 2016, 06:28:39 PM »

Clinton will need more dumps from Jefferson and then Fayette to get her over the hump.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #151 on: May 17, 2016, 06:29:24 PM »

Clinton +14 in Jefferson with 41 counted.

DD had this update like 10 minutes ago btw, so once again they post something -> AP vindicates later.
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Frodo
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« Reply #152 on: May 17, 2016, 06:29:37 PM »

Somebody please tell Kornacki how to pronounce Louisville.

How do you pronounce it? Most people I know from that area say LOO-uh-vull, but I've also heard one person pronounce it LOW-vull.

I always said 'Lewey-ville' -after all, isn't that how we usually pronounce the name of the French king?  

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Seriously?
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« Reply #153 on: May 17, 2016, 06:29:48 PM »

MSNBC says it is now too close too call.
Not shocking without exit polling.
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Santander
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« Reply #154 on: May 17, 2016, 06:31:29 PM »

Somebody please tell Kornacki how to pronounce Louisville.

How do you pronounce it? Most people I know from that area say LOO-uh-vull, but I've also heard one person pronounce it LOW-vull.
The first way.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #155 on: May 17, 2016, 06:32:01 PM »

Somebody please tell Kornacki how to pronounce Louisville.

How do you pronounce it? Most people I know from that area say LOO-uh-vull, but I've also heard one person pronounce it LOW-vull.

I always said 'Lewey-ville' -after all, isn't that how we usually pronounce the name of the French king?  



That's how it's spelled.
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jaichind
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« Reply #156 on: May 17, 2016, 06:32:22 PM »

Clinton +14 in Jefferson with 41 counted.

DD had this update like 10 minutes ago btw, so once again they post something -> AP vindicates later.

Ideally what we need is an app that takes the MAX(DD,CNN) and produce a count/map as it looks like both sites have different counties where it is ahead in the count.
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Frodo
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« Reply #157 on: May 17, 2016, 06:34:40 PM »

Sanders currently has a three thousand vote lead, with more than 40% of the vote in.
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henster
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« Reply #158 on: May 17, 2016, 06:34:46 PM »

DD has 169,048 and AP has 200,773 votes, yet DD is ahead?
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cinyc
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« Reply #159 on: May 17, 2016, 06:35:48 PM »

DD has 169,048 and AP has 200,773 votes, yet DD is ahead?

They're ahead in a county that counts for Clinton, Fayette, and behind in a lot of small, rural counties that lean Sanders.  It's a mixed bag.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #160 on: May 17, 2016, 06:35:52 PM »

DD has 169,048 and AP has 200,773 votes, yet DD is ahead?

In certain individual counties. Like Fayette, where DD has 98% in and AP has like 10% in. AP is ahead in the vast majority of rural counties where DD does not have people working.
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cxs018
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« Reply #161 on: May 17, 2016, 06:37:26 PM »


There's nothing wrong with DD. They're great people and their results have always been 100% reliable.

They made a bad call in Michigan (for totally understandable reasons, imo, but w/e) but there's nothing wrong with the ground work they do.

Huh

I doubt DD uses actual returns when it reports results.

DD uses their own returns lol, they don't use AP returns. That's what they are & that's why they're great. They literally have people in count centers who upload the precinct tallies as soon as they're done. This is why they initially outpace AP (they get the results faster than they're officially filed) and later fall behind (they don't have people in literally every count center, so once centers they don't have people in start to report they fall behind.)

They have never reported bad results, ever. Their calls and analysis have been bad at various points, but yeah, their actual work is perfect.

Really?

So why does DDHQ have HILLARY ahead when Bernie has been leading for quite some time and there are MORE votes being reported on CNN than DDHQ? LOL

It's because of the Hillary-hating lamestream media.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #162 on: May 17, 2016, 06:41:27 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio
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Frodo
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« Reply #163 on: May 17, 2016, 06:41:42 PM »

Given his record thus far, I can't blame Sanders for wanting to stay in until every state (and territory) has had its say.  It looks like he may make a clean sweep through May if he carries Kentucky (as he has already taken Indiana).  
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jaichind
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« Reply #164 on: May 17, 2016, 06:41:51 PM »

I think between  Jefferson and Fayette Clinton could net 12K more votes but Sanders up only 3K so he needs to find 9K gains elsewhere.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #165 on: May 17, 2016, 06:42:19 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

Coal country has been gone since 2012.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #166 on: May 17, 2016, 06:42:23 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

All three of those being states she carried in the primaries.
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yourelection
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« Reply #167 on: May 17, 2016, 06:43:23 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

Is this just due to the bad quote from Clinton or because Sanders just does better with the working class?
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #168 on: May 17, 2016, 06:43:54 PM »

Clinton's margin in Jefferson increases slightly to 57%-41% with 52% reporting (this is DD again, outpacing AP.)
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #169 on: May 17, 2016, 06:44:13 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

All three of those being states she carried in the primaries.
All states before her disastrous comments on crushing the coal industry that made a grown man cry
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jaichind
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« Reply #170 on: May 17, 2016, 06:44:46 PM »

Looking at what is outstanding I rather be Clinton than Sanders right now.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #171 on: May 17, 2016, 06:45:50 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

All three of those being states she carried in the primaries.
All states before her disastrous comments on crushing the coal industry that made a grown man cry

I mean, they weren't voting democrat anymore anyway but it definitely hurt her in the primary.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #172 on: May 17, 2016, 06:46:16 PM »

Looking at what is outstanding I rather be Clinton than Sanders right now.

I'd agree with that. I think the big thing for Clinton is that her margin actually just increased a little in Jefferson, which means the election day vote there isn't bad for her. I'd call her a slight, slight favorite at this point.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #173 on: May 17, 2016, 06:46:50 PM »

Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

All three of those being states she carried in the primaries.
All states before her disastrous comments on crushing the coal industry that made a grown man cry

No, Pennsylvania (and Ohio IIRC) voted after that comment.
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #174 on: May 17, 2016, 06:47:20 PM »

Numbers now suggest Clinton over the top.
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