Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 24436 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: May 17, 2016, 02:27:10 PM »

^^ Are any of the ballots received after today counted?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 02:43:30 PM »

Any idea when the first OR results will come in? I'd imagine it'll come in very quickly once it starts.

About 40% of the vote came in almost immediately in the 2012 GE.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 03:23:41 PM »

http://demrace.com/?share=PUkKSHJ3

^^ targets I have for Sanders. He needs to get 58% in KY and deny Hillary viability (15%) in Oregon.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 09:00:01 PM »

^ CNN doesn't use the apparent winner thing. That's just a MSNBC invention.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2016, 12:28:35 AM »

Entering in the current seven point margin into the demrace.com calculator puts the delegate allocation at 33 Sanders, 28 Clinton.

This puts his needed % in California to 70.001%. He also now needs 60% in New Jersey, 63% in New Mexico, and 53% in Puerto Rico. This is in addition to denying Hillary viability in MT, SD, and ND, and holding her to 64% in the Virgin Islands and 70% in DC.

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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2016, 12:45:56 AM »

Entering in the current seven point margin into the demrace.com calculator puts the delegate allocation at 33 Sanders, 28 Clinton.

This puts his needed % in California to 70.001%. He also now needs 60% in New Jersey, 63% in New Mexico, and 53% in Puerto Rico. This is in addition to denying Hillary viability in MT, SD, and ND, and holding her to 64% in the Virgin Islands and 70% in DC.

rly

Sanders's speech tonight involved no "tone-down" whatsoever. He said catching up in pledged delegates was difficult, but possible.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2016, 12:58:18 AM »

Entering in the current seven point margin into the demrace.com calculator puts the delegate allocation at 33 Sanders, 28 Clinton.

This puts his needed % in California to 70.001%. He also now needs 60% in New Jersey, 63% in New Mexico, and 53% in Puerto Rico. This is in addition to denying Hillary viability in MT, SD, and ND, and holding her to 64% in the Virgin Islands and 70% in DC.

rly

Sanders's speech tonight involved no "tone-down" whatsoever. He said catching up in pledged delegates was difficult, but possible.
I wonder if he actually believes that.

I'm not sure. What I hope is that he is just saying that to secure a California victory, so he can make the argument that he had a real movement right to the end, winning in the most populated state. He then issues a reluctant endorsement of Clinton by June 15, campaigns for her once or twice, and passes on his donor Network to Alan Grayson 2024 (or whoever the revolution candidate next time is going to be).
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #7 on: May 18, 2016, 01:07:35 AM »

Clinton wins Gilliam county by literally one vote. Sanders landslides in Wheeler County.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2016, 11:54:15 AM »

Deschutes county flips to Sanders. Clinton is left with just her one vote lead in Gilliam County.
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