Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 24507 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,733
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Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« on: May 17, 2016, 03:15:37 PM »

I don'the think she'll lose, but I think she'll hold Sanders to under 60, and there's a good chance it'll be in single digits. The national margin has been tilting against Sanders for a few weeks.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 05:12:40 PM »
This is looking an awful lot like Indiana and West Virginia so far... :/
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 05:25:57 PM »
Hillary's numbers recovering after taking an early tumble. It's still the early early stuff, though.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 05:33:54 PM »
One candidate does seem to be improving over the course of the night - other. The margin is staying more or less constant, but both numbers are dropping.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2016, 05:35:38 PM »
Henry County:

Sanders - 53.8%
Clinton - 23.1%
O'Malley - 10.3%
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2016, 06:01:44 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on May 17, 2016, 06:00:02 PM
Some counties east of Lexington are done counting. Sanders winning between 2-6 points.

Well, at least that's a bit underwhelming for rural Eastern Kentucky, but Hillary's numbers in Louisville and the Cincinnati suburbs look equally so.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2016, 06:02:49 PM »
Sanders's margin just shrunk by 5 votes!

#DropOutBernie
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2016, 06:18:15 PM »
Clinton actually keeping her strong margin in Louisville. That wasn't the case in Indianapolis or Detroit. Maybe a silver lining for her?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2016, 06:24:53 PM »
Quote from: Santander on May 17, 2016, 06:22:08 PM
Somebody please tell Kornacki how to pronounce Louisville.

How do you pronounce it? Most people I know from that area say LOO-uh-vull, but I've also heard one person pronounce it LOW-vull.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2016, 06:42:23 PM »
Quote from: Silent Cal on May 17, 2016, 06:41:27 PM
Boy does coal country dislike Sec. Clinton. Large margins of loss for her here could hurt her in the general election in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Ohio

All three of those being states she carried in the primaries.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2016, 06:52:02 PM »
It was looking like IN and WV, but it's starting to feel a bit more CT to me.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2016, 07:13:31 PM »
Here's the map of counties that are completely done reporting. Looking good for Clinton.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2016, 08:06:17 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 17, 2016, 08:05:20 PM
Sanders is over 1,000 votes ahead. Still waiting for Jefferson.

Where are you looking? NYT has him up 216 votes.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2016, 08:06:44 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on May 17, 2016, 08:06:17 PM
Quote from: ag on May 17, 2016, 08:05:20 PM
Sanders is over 1,000 votes ahead. Still waiting for Jefferson.

Where are you looking? NYT has him up 216 votes.

Ah. Just changed.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2016, 09:17:43 PM »
Quote from: yourelection on May 17, 2016, 09:13:37 PM
Quote from: Silent Cal on May 17, 2016, 09:08:16 PM
Quote from: ag on May 17, 2016, 09:06:40 PM
Quote from: Fusionmunster on May 17, 2016, 09:05:40 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on May 17, 2016, 09:03:52 PM
Many news organizations don't make a call if there's a possibility of a recount.

Do you think there will be a recount?

For what? It does not affect delegate allocation.


It affects moral and media coverage. sanders should defiantly call for a recount. Its less than 2000 votes for goodness sake

Can you simply call for a recount or does it have to go through a court?

I believe because it's a primary that all Sanders has to do to get a recount is to pay for it. Otherwise, there is no legal standard because the DNC is a private organization.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2016, 10:14:11 PM »
Quote from: marty on May 17, 2016, 10:11:54 PM
clinton is winning washingon and clackamas

That's pretty amazing. I wonder what demographics are pulling her over the top there.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2016, 10:15:17 PM »
Harney County coming in for Sanders. You would have thought they would have learned their lesson with revolutionary extremists. Tongue
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2016, 10:22:52 PM »
Wow. Bernie losing in Bend, Granolastan? Must be all the richies.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2016, 10:30:47 PM »
Bernie: Trump seeks to delegitimize the President!
Crowd: BOOO!!!
Bernie: Now let me say something to the leadership of the Democratic Party!
Crowd: BOOO!!!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2016, 10:31:41 PM »
"Limited energy"

REALLY BERNIE? REALLY?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2016, 10:32:49 PM »
Now is the time Bernie:

Denounce the Bernie or bust movement!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2016, 10:33:34 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on May 17, 2016, 10:32:49 PM
Now is the time Bernie:

Denounce the Bernie or bust movement!

Or not...
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2016, 10:41:30 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on May 17, 2016, 10:38:10 PM
As far as delegates go, if Washington had stuck with its primary (instead of a caucus), would the results have been as close as we are seeing in Oregon?    

We'll soon find out, or at least have a pretty good idea, since Washington is holding a beauty contest primary next week.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #23 on: May 19, 2016, 12:09:37 AM »
Does anybody have a 2008-2016 swing map? I imagine it might look odd.
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