Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)

[Eraserhead]

I really think that Clinton is going to struggle to overcome her huge disadvantages in coal country, which in Kentucky is both in the eastern and western parts of the state, to pull out a win.

Exhibit A:

Wow, I had forgotten that he actually did worse in Kentucky than he did in West Virginia in 2012.

[Eraserhead]

If this is all early voting, these results don't look too promising for Clinton...

[Eraserhead]

I love how Clinton is leading, yet it's considered "not good" for her. Sanders isn't going to win the nomination, yet people still can't get that through the head. It's crazy.

Uh, okay. This is a thread where we discuss the Kentucky results, that's all I was referring to. Get over it.

[Eraserhead]

AP called Kentucky for Clinton then took it back because they remembered all the polls weren't closed.

Going by Benchmark anyway.

How the hell could you call a state with 2% of the vote in and no exit poll? Ridiculous.

[Eraserhead]

Harlan County, USA is certainly Sanders country. Damn.

[Eraserhead]

DD HQ is a joke basically. Do they still think Hillary won Michigan?

[Eraserhead]

The way OR is going, it should be a double digit win, though not a huge one. Probably 10-12%. That shouldn't be possible, since Sanders obviously can't ever win a closed primary, and his 46% win in WA would've been a loss if only it had been a primary! Anyway, I'll accept my accolades when Bernie crosses 55%. Yeah, it's not an extreme landslide, but it still shows that the PNW is Bernie country, if Hillary loses by more than 10% even under the best conditions for her.

I think he may end up winning every county too.

[Eraserhead]

Oregon is feeling the BERN!

Sites showing 10% margin with 77% in and Dave showing <10% with higher numbers. Awful showing by Bernie. Need to remove those undemocratic caucuses and he won't win states by 40% outside of Vermont.

I don't know where Dave is getting his numbers but CNN is now at 83% and has Sanders up by 10.2%. He's probably going to win by significantly more than 10% in the end and I fail to see how that's an awful showing for him in a closed primary.

[Eraserhead]

Where things currently stand according to the Oregon Secretary of State's page:

Sanders 341,472 55.68%
Clinton 261,145 42.58%
Write-ins 10,702 1.74%

So Bernie's margin is now up to 13.10% and participation is rivaling what it was in 2008. It may even exceed it depending on how many ballots there are left to count.

This is in stark contrast to Kentucky, where turnout bordered on abysmal.

Also, Sanders is currently leading in Multnomah (Portland) 58.62%-40.66%.

[Eraserhead]

Do we know how much is left to count in Oregon?

No, because the SOS's page is saying that they're are at 100% but they also said that yesterday and then there was another vote dump from Portland this afternoon anyway. lol.

I can't imagine there is too much left though. Like I said, they've nearly matched 2008's turnout as it is which is not something that many states can say on the Democratic side of things this cycle.

[Eraserhead]

The latest count from Oregon:

Bernie Sanders 345,890 55.85%
Hillary Clinton 263,347 42.52%   
Write-in Votes 10,067 1.63%

Bernie's margin is still growing.

It also looks like the total number of write-in votes decreased for some reason.

[Eraserhead]

Bernie Sanders 348,684 55.93%
Hillary Clinton 264,565 42.44%   
Write-in Votes 10,169 1.63%

You can round Hillary down to 42% now.
   

[Eraserhead]

Yet another update, Bernie's margin is up to 13.62% now:
   
Bernie Sanders      350,689   55.97%
Hillary Clinton      265,316   42.35%
Write-in Votes      10,516   1.68%   

[Eraserhead]

Is it still not finalized yet?

Still going, there was another update:

Bernie Sanders      353,023   56.04%
Hillary Clinton      266,279   42.27%   
Write-in Votes      10,626   1.69%   

[Eraserhead]

There was a pretty big vote dump today, Bernie's margin has climbed up to 14.17%.

Bernie Sanders 360,403 56.24%
Hillary Clinton 269,592 42.07%
Write-in Votes 10,862 1.69%

The turnout (or participation) should also be higher than 2008's after the next group of votes come down.

Total votes in the 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary (so far): 640,857

2008 total (according to Leip): 641,499

[Eraserhead]

It really makes you wonder how big the turnout would have been and by how much Sanders would have won by if this had been an open primary.

[Eraserhead]

Gilliam County destroys the map. HC

Yeah, I keep checking to see if any more votes have come in there but no luck (at least not yet).