Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 24435 times)
Gass3268
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« on: May 17, 2016, 01:15:46 PM »


One of these models includes facebook likes. Guess which?

The DHM poll? Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 01:38:21 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2016, 01:43:48 PM by Gass3268 »

I really think that Clinton is going to struggle to overcome her huge disadvantages in coal country, which in Kentucky is both in the eastern and western parts of the state, to pull out a win.

Exhibit A:

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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 04:26:36 PM »

I'm really hoping returns coming out of Kentucky are faster than West Virginia was. Last week was painful. Also hoping we can get a good % in from the eastern part of the state before the entire states closes.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 05:07:10 PM »

Some early stuff coming in so of course that favors Clinton.

Yeah, not a lot of raw totals in the every vote.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2016, 05:22:36 PM »

If this is all early voting, these results don't look too promising for Clinton...

Kentucky's early vote isn't too prominent.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2016, 05:35:29 PM »

Decision Desk showing Clinton up 10% in Fayette with nearly 50% in.

Yeah, not a good sign for Sanders.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2016, 05:42:07 PM »

AP called Kentucky for Clinton then took it back because they remembered all the polls weren't closed.

Going by Benchmark anyway.

How the hell could you call a state with 2% of the vote in and no exit poll? Ridiculous.

Especially with it tightening now.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2016, 05:58:05 PM »

This is not looking good for Clinton, looks kind of weak in Louisville/Lexington/Cincinnati suburbs while counties with lots of precincts in are swinging to Sanders as we've seen in the past.

Only weak spot for Sanders has been Fayette County, but I think he's overcoming it in other places.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2016, 06:00:02 PM »

Some counties east of Lexington are done counting. Sanders winning between 2-6 points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2016, 09:29:09 PM »

This is why I changed my prediction from Clinton >50% to Clinton >40%.

Uncommitted is a much better option for protest voters than felons/prison inmates. O'Malley and De La Fuente will be on the ballot as well.

Glad I changed it. Smiley

Good call!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2016, 09:44:34 PM »

Obama chose not to ask for a recount in MO in the 2008 general election. He could've, he didn't want to. Let it be Sanders.

Obama is a Democrat. He's about party unity.
Sanders isn't a Democrat. He's about his "revolution."
Bernie Sanders = Rand Paul.

Rand or Ron Paul has never won a primary/caucus.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2016, 09:53:22 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2016, 09:57:53 PM by Gass3268 »

Obama chose not to ask for a recount in MO in the 2008 general election. He could've, he didn't want to. Let it be Sanders.

Obama is a Democrat. He's about party unity.
Sanders isn't a Democrat. He's about his "revolution."
Bernie Sanders = Rand Paul.

Rand or Ron Paul has never won a primary/caucus.

Ron Paul actually won the Virgin Islands caucus, you corporate media shill.

He also won the majority of delegates in Iowa, Louisiana, Maine, and Minnesota! #ronpaulr3VOLution

The fact that the only place he ever genuinely won the vote was the VIRGIN Islands will never cease to make me chuckle.

Lol yes!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2016, 10:27:11 PM »

I hate caucuses and closed primaries. Open primaries or modified open/closed are the way to go.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2016, 10:30:55 PM »

This does not include votes handed in today. Which I imagine will be more pro-Bernie.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2016, 10:35:34 PM »

MSNBC calls it for Sanders
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2016, 10:37:15 PM »

Chris Matthews liked Sanders speech.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2016, 10:38:31 PM »

Crowd is like a rabid mob. Disgusting. Do people really think he's done more good than harm?

Yes I do, he's moving the Democratic Party and Hillary Clinton to the left. That's a good thing.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2016, 10:42:42 PM »


It's a big deal for the Clinton champion to say that.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2016, 10:43:15 PM »

Crowd is like a rabid mob. Disgusting. Do people really think he's done more good than harm?

Bernie "white resentment" Sanders whipping up more white kids into violence and rioting while scamming them out of their money. I'm not sure whether to compare him to a televangelist or a fascist.

OMG, lol Roll Eyes
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2016, 10:44:59 PM »


It's a big deal for the Clinton champion to say that.

Lmao you're more deluded than the candidate you support if you think Chris Matthews is a champion of Hillary's.

He has been his cycle.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2016, 10:45:54 PM »

Also, lol at the idea that Sanders is 100% financed by college kids.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2016, 10:55:36 PM »

Jefferson County, OR flipped to Sanders.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: May 18, 2016, 01:36:28 AM »

Clinton wins Gilliam county by literally one vote. Sanders landslides in Wheeler County.

CNN is saying that only 50% of the vote is in from Gilliam County.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: May 18, 2016, 12:54:24 PM »

Deschutes county flips to Sanders. Clinton is left with just her one vote lead in Gilliam County.

I demand a recount in Gilliam! Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: May 18, 2016, 02:07:24 PM »

Everything is in from Oregon, except 22% from Multnomah County (Portland). Sanders is up by 12%.
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