Who will win on May 17th? (D)
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Poll
Question: Who will win in the following states?
#1
Kentucky: Clinton		  
#2
Kentucky: Sanders		  
#3
Oregon: Clinton		  
#4
Oregon: Sanders		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 69

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Author Topic: Who will win on May 17th? (D)  (Read 1328 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: May 10, 2016, 07:29:12 PM »
« edited: May 15, 2016, 01:53:31 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Kentucky Clinton (barely) and Oregon Sanders.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2016, 07:54:43 PM »
Sen. Sanders
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2016, 07:56:13 PM »
Oregon: definitely Sanders.
Kentucky: I voted Clinton, but it could go either way. We'll probably have a better idea once all the West Virginia results are in.
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2016, 08:29:01 PM »
Kentucky: Lean Clinton, unless coat country has ridiculously high turnout.
Oregon: Safe Sanders.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2016, 08:41:40 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on May 10, 2016, 07:56:13 PM
Oregon: definitely Sanders.
Kentucky: I voted Clinton, but it could go either way. We'll probably have a better idea once all the West Virginia results are in.

I agree it could go either way, but I don't think WV tells us much, other than that coal country will be Sanders territory. KY has a bigger African American population and is closed, which should help Hillary.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2016, 08:42:13 PM »
Thinking Sanders in both. Absolutely in Oregon.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2016, 09:09:14 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on May 10, 2016, 08:41:40 PM
Quote from: Figueira on May 10, 2016, 07:56:13 PM
Oregon: definitely Sanders.
Kentucky: I voted Clinton, but it could go either way. We'll probably have a better idea once all the West Virginia results are in.

I agree it could go either way, but I don't think WV tells us much, other than that coal country will be Sanders territory. KY has a bigger African American population and is closed, which should help Hillary.

Eh... not in Kentucky. Lots of DINOs. The state is still easily plurality democratic in registration.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2016, 09:21:10 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 10, 2016, 09:09:14 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on May 10, 2016, 08:41:40 PM
Quote from: Figueira on May 10, 2016, 07:56:13 PM
Oregon: definitely Sanders.
Kentucky: I voted Clinton, but it could go either way. We'll probably have a better idea once all the West Virginia results are in.

I agree it could go either way, but I don't think WV tells us much, other than that coal country will be Sanders territory. KY has a bigger African American population and is closed, which should help Hillary.

Eh... not in Kentucky. Lots of DINOs. The state is still easily plurality democratic in registration.

It will help her now that the GOP primary is over. The DINOs would've stuck with the Democratic primary even if it was open.
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Pyro
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« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2016, 09:24:27 PM »
Narrow Sanders win in Kentucky.
Sanders sweep in Oregon. 10+ point win.
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: May 10, 2016, 09:24:41 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on May 10, 2016, 08:41:40 PM
Quote from: Figueira on May 10, 2016, 07:56:13 PM
Oregon: definitely Sanders.
Kentucky: I voted Clinton, but it could go either way. We'll probably have a better idea once all the West Virginia results are in.

I agree it could go either way, but I don't think WV tells us much, other than that coal country will be Sanders territory. KY has a bigger African American population and is closed, which should help Hillary.

I didn't mean that the West Virginia results would be identical to the Kentucky results, just that it should tell us something.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: May 10, 2016, 09:26:22 PM »
Sanders will easily take OR. I think KY is a toss-up now. I could definitely see Hillary doing well in western KY, and she'll probably win Louisville, but eastern KY could be good for Sanders. I guess it depends on how many Dixiecrats show up, and whether or not Hillary puts up any effort.
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Dabeav
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« Reply #11 on: May 10, 2016, 09:30:54 PM »
Oregon: heavily Sanders
Kentucky: slight Sanders win (though Hillary will probably get more delegates again, the witch)
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Santander
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« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2016, 10:02:34 PM »
Before Indiana, I was pretty confident Sanders would win Kentucky, but I'm not so sure now. She won the counties along the Ohio River in Ohio, Indiana and Illinois, and I think she'll win Louisville and the Cincinnati suburbs. Sanders should win Lexington and the rest of the state. I still give him the edge, but I think it'll be a 5-point contest like Indiana.

I'll be voting for Sanders with the rest of the Dixiecrats.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: May 15, 2016, 01:49:18 PM »
Bump, 2 days.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: May 15, 2016, 03:46:40 PM »
Kentucky
Sanders 53%
Clinton 45%
Other 2%

Oregon
Sanders 58%
Clinton 40%
Other 2%
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« Reply #15 on: May 15, 2016, 04:29:36 PM »
Kentucky: Lean Clinton
Oregon: Likely Sanders
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2016, 12:01:23 PM »
Kentucky: 58.6% Clinton, 41.4% Sanders
Oregon: 88.6% Sanders, 11.4% Clinton
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