Forget everything you know. This is a realigning election. (user search)
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  Forget everything you know. This is a realigning election. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Forget everything you know. This is a realigning election.  (Read 827 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: May 19, 2016, 01:38:00 PM »

This election has broken and will continue to break all the rules.  It will blow away the old red/blue firewalls.  Trump is not a typical GOP candidate, he will lose support in traditional GOP areas and gain support in traditional Dem areas.  We could very well see something like this:

Clinton 315
Trump 223



I mean, who knows?  Your guess is as good as mine.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2016, 01:46:27 PM »


Everyone last July: LOL, Trump is not going to be the nominee.

I'm not saying this map is going to happen.  I am saying I have a suspicion the map we do see is going to look like an LOL map today.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2016, 01:49:16 PM »

Trump is not winning FL or Maine or Wisconsin or New Jersey. Clinton is not winning Utah or South Carolina or Mississippi. Forget about it.

When Trump surges among white suburbanites, and evangelicals and Mormons abandon him in droves?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2016, 01:53:28 PM »

Everything that's happened so far, shouldn't have happened.  The fact that Trump is the nominee, hell, anything is on the table at this point.  We call Trump crazy when he talks about making NY and CA competitive.  Now I'm not sure he's crazy.  Up is down and black is white.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2016, 02:05:48 PM »

As one of those who never underestimated Trump, I call this map highly implausible.

It's impossible, but only because it's one of hundreds of possible LOL permutations, one of which I think will happen.

I think if someone showed us November's map NOW, we'd look at it like they grew an arm out of their forehead.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2016, 02:28:57 PM »

LMFAO at people not getting the joke.

You forgot to say that Christie will deliver NJ for Trump and that many experts have said that "Clinton is the candidate who could bring the South back to the democrats."

If Christie is on the ticket NJ goes 70% for Clinton.
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