*the
most likely Libertarian ticket
I think that Johnson/Weld will be the ticket that comes out of the convention, but it's not a guarantee. You guys need to keep in mind that the LP national convention will involve a couple of governors with political insider ties making their cases to a delegation that includes a bunch of anarchists. Anything could happen.
I've pretty much switched from supporting McAfee to supporting this Johnson/Weld ticket, largely because of the political experience imbalance in favor of the Libertarians that it provides. It would be great to boast.
Atlas Forum members will love this breakdown of a poll that was done on 47 LP delegates:
http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2016/05/iprs-second-2016-libertarian-party-presidential-preference-poll-detailed-results/It has Johnson not winning until 5 ballots, when he somewhat narrowly defeats
Darryl W. Perry. Admittedly, IPR's readership tends to be more radical than the LP as a whole, but it may hint at a struggle for Johnson. One particularly good thing for Johnson to come out of that poll is that Johnson--not McAfee--looks likely to pull Petersen supporters as their second choice, moreso than McAfee pulls Perry supporters. So Johnson doesn't have a clear 2nd place challenger at this point, at least.