Also how is Clinton only up 6 if she is only losing the white vote by 12 points. If that result actually happens in the election, she wins by 12-13 points......
That depends heavily on what assumptions you make about turnout and margins of the groups that aren't provided in the crosstabs.
If the margins of whites and blacks are the same as in this poll, and if you assume whites drop to 70% and Hispanics rise to 12%, with turnout and margins for all other groups remaining identical to 2012, it would be:
Whites (70%): 56-44 Trump
Blacks (13%): 92-8 Clinton
Hispanics (12%): 72-28 Clinton
Asian (3%): 74-26 Clinton
Other (2%): 60-40 Clinton
That gives a 55-45 election. But that's a lot of assumptions. If the election defies the hype and white turnout stays stagnant, it's 54-46. If black turnout drops a point, it's down to 53-47.
