IF, Trump wins FL, OH, PA. THAN, what state puts him over the top? (user search)
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  IF, Trump wins FL, OH, PA. THAN, what state puts him over the top? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: IF, Trump wins FL, OH, PA  THAN, what state puts him over the top?
#1
NC
 
#2
VA
 
#3
NJ
 
#4
NH
 
#5
MI
 
#6
WI
 
#7
IA
 
#8
NM
 
#9
NV
 
#10
WA
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: IF, Trump wins FL, OH, PA. THAN, what state puts him over the top?  (Read 1988 times)
AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« on: May 19, 2016, 06:28:25 PM »


IF, Trump wins FL, OH, PA
THAN, what state puts him over the top?
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2016, 06:35:58 PM »

Why on Earth do you show WA and NJ as tossups? Your map is dumb. If NC is a tossup, CO is going to Clinton. If WA is a tossup, the Democrats are getting far less than 170 EVs. Your map makes no sense.

To answer your question, though, if FL, OH, and PA go to Trump, then PA (or FL) will be the state that puts Trump over the top. NC would also go Trump in that situation, but well before FL or PA.

Yea, CO should be toss as well, but than it becomes a pick 1, 2, or 3 over the top question.  Which is fine, to discuss as well.    
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2016, 07:31:26 PM »

I really want to hear your reasoning for Washington being a toss-up, but not Oregon.

I will likely think your answer is incredibly stupid, but I'm morbidly curious.

I never said anything was a toss-up, several scenarios are possible.
If the North West came into play quite-possibly Oregon would as well. 
If I had to favor Washington coming into play before Oregon (I'm not necessarily) than I'd say it was do to a larger suburban population overcoming or counter balancing fringe left voting blocks.
Oregon could come into play before Washington by a less complicated Rural v Urban dynamic. 
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