Rate NV

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

NV has really been under polled this election, not that the most accurate polling comes from the state anyway.

[Ronnie]

Safe Hillary

[This account no longer in use.]

Nevada's days of being a tossup are over. Even in the best case scenario for Trump, it's lean Clinton.

[Higgs]

Tilt Clinton - unlike CO, which is lean Clinton.

What makes you think Nevada is more likely to flip than Colorado?

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Tilt Clinton - unlike CO, which is lean Clinton.

CO is another under polled state. I wish some of these other states would get some attention, I'd specifically like to ban NC polls. The state is going to be extremely close either way, and the polls show anything from a tie to significant Trump or Clinton leads. I don't really care about GA or NJ either.

[RaphaelDLG]

Tilt Clinton - unlike CO, which is lean Clinton.

What makes you think Nevada is more likely to flip than Colorado?

Probably the large number of resort workers who strongly favor Trump

[Mr. Morden]

I'd give it two stars at best.  It's just way too tacky a state IMHO.  OTOH, at least it gives us caucus comedy every four years.

[Nyvin]

Tilt Clinton - unlike CO, which is lean Clinton.

What makes you think Nevada is more likely to flip than Colorado?

Probably the large number of resort workers who strongly favor Trump

You mean all the unionized ones or the ones who work for Trump that went on strike during the caucus?

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/donald-trump-nevada-hotel-culinary-union-protest

[libertpaulian]

Lean Clinton.  She has the upper hand in this state, but it all depends on Latino and SEIU turnout.

[RaphaelDLG]

Tilt Clinton - unlike CO, which is lean Clinton.

What makes you think Nevada is more likely to flip than Colorado?

Probably the large number of resort workers who strongly favor Trump

You mean all the unionized ones or the one's who work for Trump that went on strike during the caucus?

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/donald-trump-nevada-hotel-culinary-union-protest

Yeah, he'll lose those people and LV's significant minority population to Hillary generally, but there was a story 538 did that I'm struggling to find saying that Trump does unusually well/gets a slight bump in resort towns

[Holmes]

Somewhere between lean and likely Clinton. A large enough latino, asian and black population, as well as Trump's comments on the housing crash puts it out of reach for him. The changing demographics are putting the state more and more out of play for the Republicans. The GOP's only saving grace is that those voters don't show up in the midterms.

[Suburbia]

Lean Clinton.  She has the upper hand in this state, but it all depends on Latino and SEIU turnout.

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

9/10 would bang xD

[Angrie]

Likely Clinton, mainly because "safe" is overcategorized. Trump could win NV in a landslide if Hillary is indicted or if there is a big recession, or something else like that. But otherwise, Clinton will win it easily, with a very good chance of a double digit win.

[Xing]

Likely Clinton. I don't see how Trump is a better fit for Nevada than Romney, since it not only has a large Latino population, but also a fairly large Mormon population. The Trump-friendly voters in Nevada probably already voted for Romney. If Nevada is threatening to go for Trump, Clinton is probably finished.

[Young Conservative]

I rank it a tossup

[Holmes]

Likely Clinton. I don't see how Trump is a better fit for Nevada than Romney, since it not only has a large Latino population, but also a fairly large Mormon population. The Trump-friendly voters in Nevada probably already voted for Romney. If Nevada is threatening to go for Trump, Clinton is probably finished.

This. And I also think Hillary is a better fit for Nevada than Obama was.

[Sir Mohamed]

Likely Clinton.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

imo clinton has about an 85% chance - logically she should win handily, but then this election has been anything but logical.

[JMT]

Likely Clinton. I don't see how Trump is a better fit for Nevada than Romney, since it not only has a large Latino population, but also a fairly large Mormon population. The Trump-friendly voters in Nevada probably already voted for Romney. If Nevada is threatening to go for Trump, Clinton is probably finished.

I agree with this analysis! If Romney couldn't win it, I really don't see Trump succeeding. But I did vote Lean Clinton, just because she is not as popular as Obama was 4 years ago when he ran. But I still expect Clinton to win the state, and I think Catherine Cortez Masto will be elected to the Senate. Joe Heck would do better in a midterm, and the race will still be closer than the presidential result, but I think Cortez Masto narrowly wins as well.

[Ljube]

I rank it a tossup

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

7/10.

Oh, you mean in November? Likely Clinton.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Likely D, 77% Chance of going for Hillary Clinton

[President Johnson]

Toss-up/tilt Hillary.

I'd give TRUMP a 40% chance to win it. If he wins the general election by decisive margin (more then 51.5% of the votes), he'll carry Nevada.