June 7 predictions
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Author Topic: June 7 predictions  (Read 592 times)
jman123
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« on: May 25, 2016, 10:09:03 AM »

Predict Trump's  margin of victory in nj on June 7.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2016, 11:09:59 AM »

Trump 84
Kasich 9
Cruz 6
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Holmes
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« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2016, 11:19:14 AM »

New Jersey

Trump 86%
Kasich 6%
Cruz 4%
Others 4%

Clinton 59%
Sanders 40%
Others 1%

North Dakota

Sanders 68%
Clinton 32%

South Dakota

Trump 76%
Cruz 13%
Kasich 7%
Others 4%

Clinton 52%
Sanders 47%
Others 1%

Montana

Trump 79%
Cruz 12%
Kasich 6%
Others 3%

Sanders 55%
Clinton 44%
Others 1%

New Mexico

Trump 82%
Cruz 9%
Kasich 4%
Others 5%

Clinton 58%
Sanders 40%
Others 2%

California

Trump 78%
Cruz 11%
Kasich 8%
Others 3%

Clinton 55%
Sanders 44%
Others 1%
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2016, 11:22:40 AM »

NJ - 59% Clinton, 39% Sanders
ND - 64% Sanders, 36% Clinton
MT - 52% Sanders, 47% Clinton
SD - 51% Clinton, 49% Sanders
NM - 55% Clinton, 44% Sanders
CA - 56% Clinton, 42% Sanders
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2016, 11:33:12 AM »

LOL at people using #FAKENE to predict SD.

NJ: 60-39 Clinton
NM: 56-43 Clinton
CA: 51-48 Clinton
SD: 53-46 Sanders
MT: 60-39 Sanders
ND: 72-28 Sanders
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2016, 11:39:12 AM »

Says the guy who thinks Clinton only wins California by 3 and thought she would only win New York by 8.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #6 on: May 25, 2016, 11:40:33 AM »

LOL at people using #FAKENE to predict SD.

NJ: 60-39 Clinton
NM: 56-43 Clinton
CA: 51-48 Clinton
SD: 53-46 Sanders
MT: 60-39 Sanders
ND: 72-28 Sanders

How about basing it on 2008 when she won the state by 11?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2016, 11:52:33 AM »

NJ - 59% Clinton, 39% Sanders
ND - 64% Sanders, 36% Clinton
MT - 52% Sanders, 47% Clinton
SD - 51% Clinton, 49% Sanders
NM - 55% Clinton, 44% Sanders
CA - 56% Clinton, 42% Sanders

That seems a bit too narrow. Montana seems like the perfect type of Democratic state for Sanders, plus it's an open primary. I also disagree on South Dakota, but agree that it will be close.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2016, 12:52:18 PM »

NJ - 65% Clinton, 33% Sanders
ND - 60% Sanders, 39% Clinton
MT - 54% Sanders, 45% Clinton
SD - Sanders 53% Clinton 46%
NM - 58% Clinton, 40% Sanders
CA - 55% Clinton, 44% Sanders
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: May 26, 2016, 12:28:55 AM »

ND is an open caucus with no absentee/surrogate ballots. Sanders could crack 70 there, maybe even 80.
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standwrand
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« Reply #10 on: May 26, 2016, 07:19:29 AM »

get ready for #marcomentum and #cruzmentum in CA
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