NC-Civitas Poll: Trump +3
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  NC-Civitas Poll: Trump +3
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Author Topic: NC-Civitas Poll: Trump +3  (Read 1467 times)
Fargobison
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« on: May 26, 2016, 11:27:49 AM »

Trump 39
Clinton 36
Johnson 8

https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/MayPollPresXTabs.pdf?mc_cid=8006ed8827&mc_eid=694906e615
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mds32
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« Reply #1 on: May 26, 2016, 11:47:42 AM »

I am starting to think the map may look like 2012 all over again.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: May 26, 2016, 02:05:09 PM »

More like Civitas is not a very good pollster. I don't doubt that Trump is ahead, but Clinton's lead was very likely exaggerated.
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RFayette
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« Reply #3 on: May 26, 2016, 02:29:44 PM »

Was Clinton +9 last month. Trump definitely seems to have recovered in NC.

He's a better fit for NC than many of us were willing to acknowledge. The close GA polls included several during and after the Trump surge, suggesting NC may vote in line with or even right of GA?

Seems unlikely.  Remember that undecideds lean 2:1 GOP in Georgia.   I do think the margin between NC/GA will shrink, but I still doubt Georgia will vote to the left of North Carolina.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #4 on: May 27, 2016, 12:32:11 AM »

I am starting to think the map may look like 2012 all over again.
The fundamentals of the map will look the same. It will come down to execution in the usual suspect of states: FL, OH, NC, VA, CO, NV, NH, IA and perhaps in this cycle, PA and MI. (with MI being unlikely).
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