WI-01: Ryan leading Nehlen EASILY
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  WI-01: Ryan leading Nehlen EASILY
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Author Topic: WI-01: Ryan leading Nehlen EASILY  (Read 561 times)
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cxs018
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« on: May 27, 2016, 08:10:26 AM »

Ryan 80
Nehlen 7

Ryan 54
Democrat 36

lolpalin
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2016, 09:52:38 AM »

Source?
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cxs018
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« Reply #2 on: May 27, 2016, 10:10:26 AM »


http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/wi_cd1_topline.pdf
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2016, 06:06:14 AM »

Is this the same firm that showed Eric Cantor well ahead of Dave Brat?
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2016, 07:44:10 AM »

Is this the same firm that showed Eric Cantor well ahead of Dave Brat?

I mean, you can look at it this way. Cantor led Brat 52-40, not 80-7, though.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2016, 08:00:47 AM »
« Edited: June 01, 2016, 08:02:29 AM by Adam T »

Is this the same firm that showed Eric Cantor well ahead of Dave Brat?

I mean, you can look at it this way. Cantor led Brat 52-41 (sic), not 80-7, though.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/06/06/cantor-internal-poll-claims-34-point-lead-over-primary-opponent-brat/

"The poll, shared with Post Politics, shows Cantor with a 62 percent to 28 percent lead over Brat, an economics professor running to Cantor's right. Eleven percent say they are undecided.

The internal survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 27 and 28 by John McLaughlin of McLaughlin & Associates. It carries a margin of error of +/-4.9 percentage points.

The survey comes the same day a Daily Caller poll conducted by Vox Populi Polling (R) on Monday showed Cantor leading 52-41 percent, with 9 percent undecided."

I was referring to the 62-28 poll. I thought it was wider than that and that Cantor was supposed to have a roughly 50% lead, but still...

It isn't the same firm, but I think this poll should still be taken with a grain of salt, if for no other reason than even a fringe sole challenger running against popular incumbent U.S Representatives tend to get around 20% of the vote.  I suppose those could be the undecided as Ryan is at 80%.

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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2016, 09:18:35 AM »

As you yourself mentioned, that was a different firm. Vox had Cantor up 52-40 (http://dailycaller.com/2014/06/06/shock-poll-shows-eric-cantor-struggling-in-primary/) and the knowledge from that poll that Cantor's campaign was struggling was probably one of the causes of Brat's surge in the final days.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2016, 07:59:30 PM »

A shame they didn't poll the Democratic side. There's two Bernie supporters who seem almost identical ideologically and am wondering how close that race is. I need to weigh my influence of the primary before August.
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