What is the current state of the election?
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  What is the current state of the election?
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Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Safe Clinton
 
#2
Lean Clinton
 
#3
Tilt Clinton
 
#4
Toss up
 
#5
Tilt Trump
 
#6
Lean Trump
 
#7
Safe Trump
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 100

Author Topic: What is the current state of the election?  (Read 2238 times)
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« on: May 28, 2016, 05:40:12 PM »

Between Toss up and Tilt Clinton
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2016, 05:41:55 PM »

Somewhere between Likely and Safe Clinton.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2016, 05:43:26 PM »

Likely Clinton, about a 70% chance of winning
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #3 on: May 28, 2016, 05:50:57 PM »

as in what if the election were held today? Then probably tossup. The Dems haven't yet united and Dem GOTV machine needs months to ramp up and motivate their base that are yet to be really fully engaged.  But given time, then yes probably Lean Clinton due to the usual advantages given to the Dems (Obama approval, generally good economy, organizational advantage, money advantage, demographic trend, EC Dem advantage).

Of course during that time there will be plenty of opportunities for Clinton and the Dems to blow it.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #4 on: May 28, 2016, 07:22:47 PM »

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Higgs
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« Reply #5 on: May 28, 2016, 07:49:41 PM »

Tossup, maybe tilt Clinton
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #6 on: May 28, 2016, 08:07:52 PM »

Tilt Clinton, it would be safe Clinton if the democrats were more unified.
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #7 on: May 28, 2016, 08:14:41 PM »

Lean Trump.
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Hammy
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« Reply #8 on: May 28, 2016, 09:56:00 PM »

Tossup until the Dem primary resolves.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #9 on: May 28, 2016, 10:19:34 PM »

Likely Clinton, about a 70% chance of winning
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: May 28, 2016, 11:55:39 PM »

Trump won the primary more easily, right? It must be lean or likely Trump, then. Maybe I should vote for him!
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MK
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« Reply #11 on: May 29, 2016, 01:12:24 AM »

Slight lean to Hillary due to Trump still needing to prove himself "acceptable".
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President Johnson
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« Reply #12 on: May 29, 2016, 04:38:29 AM »

Tilt TRUMP.
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Figueira
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« Reply #13 on: May 29, 2016, 07:22:01 AM »


The capital letters thing got old a long time ago.
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #14 on: May 29, 2016, 09:45:48 AM »

I didn't know it was ever not old.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #15 on: May 29, 2016, 09:49:02 AM »

The TRUMP thing got boring the day he announced.
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #16 on: May 29, 2016, 01:56:47 PM »

Safe Hillary, Trump (her doner) will not get base out.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #17 on: May 29, 2016, 01:59:52 PM »


So, what about Trump or Trump or Trump Wink
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Fuzzy Says: "Abolish NPR!"
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« Reply #18 on: May 29, 2016, 02:31:48 PM »

It's a toss-up, due to a relatively large number of undecided voters that have little enthusiasm for either candidate.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #19 on: May 29, 2016, 03:26:32 PM »

At this point in time, the election is tilting toward Trump.

The voting results only reflects the preponderance of Democrats that post here.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #20 on: May 29, 2016, 03:29:59 PM »

Current state? Well people are kidding themselves if they think it would be anything other than a Hillary win. Recent polling looks a lot like 2012. Toss-up to Democratic edge in the national popular vote, with the swing states very close but persistently D.

Honestly, if the election were held today I think the map would be almost identical to 2012.

Add to that the fact that this is probably the lowest Hillary will ever be at, and I'm optimistic. Scared as all f-ck, because Trump could still win, but Hillary's got the edge.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #21 on: May 29, 2016, 04:51:38 PM »

Time is the biggest factor lending to uncertainty, so I can only say Lean Clinton at most for now.
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RR1997
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« Reply #22 on: May 29, 2016, 05:15:10 PM »


What about TRUMP? Wink
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Figueira
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« Reply #23 on: May 29, 2016, 05:15:29 PM »


No and No and No
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #24 on: May 29, 2016, 05:36:56 PM »

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