Minnesota/Iowa/Wisconsin

[Devils30]

The media is lumping these 3 states in with Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan when talking about midwest. Does anyone else think Trump will underperform in these 3 states? The Wisconsin polls are not very promising for Trump at all and no one has polled Iowa recently but the January polls were not terribly friendly for Trump either.

[Devils30]

I think this is really Trump's best and possibly only path to 270

[Devils30]

The Scandanavian influence in WI/MN/IA helps Dems this time around. Trump does better with the Appalachian crowd that identifies as "American." I don't consider Michigan really in play this time around, not with Dems winning that open senate seat easily in 2014 and Obama by nearly 10 last time. PA is really hard for the GOP too, they really need both a huge gain in western PA without a decline in metro Philly. Places like Chester and Berks could easily swing back to the Dems from 2012, especially Chester where Romney was a good fit.