NY-Siena Research Clinton 52 Trump 31 (user search)
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  NY-Siena Research Clinton 52 Trump 31 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY-Siena Research Clinton 52 Trump 31  (Read 2870 times)
Wells
MikeWells12
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« on: May 31, 2016, 07:29:57 PM »

I used the demographics of this poll to make an entire map again.



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren  272 EV's  49.1%
Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich            266 EV's  50.0%

On the 538 calculator there was an electoral college tie. New Hampshire was the deciding state. (It flipped between R and D if I changed the CEW turnout by a percent.)

The way the demographic calculators was put together caused the PV/EV split. There were a few discrepancies. IA, WI, PA, and VA went different ways in different calculators. (This is why Trump had a 286-252 victory on the RCP calculator.) However, their Democratic leads on one calculator were bigger than the Republican leads for the same state on the other calculator (except Virginia), so the Democrats won three.

I think OC would like this map.
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