CA-USC/LAT: Clinton +10
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  CA-USC/LAT: Clinton +10
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Author Topic: CA-USC/LAT: Clinton +10  (Read 1447 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: June 02, 2016, 04:31:40 PM »

49/39.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2016, 04:36:08 PM »

Well, California will definitely be worth watching.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2016, 04:37:31 PM »

Virtually unchanged from two and a half months ago, when they had Clinton up 11. Still going with a 6-7 point win for Clinton.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2016, 04:44:01 PM »

They also have Sanders up one among all voters eligible to vote in the Dem primary.
So I guess that means if turnout is 100% then Sanders has a chance.
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2016, 04:44:36 PM »

I believe it, and I actually also believe the numbers among all registered voters. California would probably be a swing state in a Clinton/Sanders general election.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: June 02, 2016, 04:46:15 PM »

They also have Sanders up one among all voters eligible to vote in the Dem primary.
So I guess that means if turnout is 100% then Sanders has a chance.

Don't tell that to jfern.
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Sbane
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« Reply #6 on: June 02, 2016, 04:49:36 PM »

La times kind of sucks but I guess it's another data point.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: June 02, 2016, 04:50:04 PM »

That's a shockingly high level of undecideds this late in the game.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: June 02, 2016, 04:51:29 PM »

That's a shockingly high level of undecideds this late in the game.

Field has more.
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: June 02, 2016, 05:00:45 PM »

I actually think this is close to right, probably a couple of points towards Hillary's side (think it is Clinton +8 right now if I had to guess)
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: June 02, 2016, 07:32:20 PM »

BEAUTIFUL!!
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: June 02, 2016, 07:51:23 PM »

I trust Field and Marist more than a Newspaper poll. Also note that the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of time here. I don't think they would be if their internals showed her up 10.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #12 on: June 02, 2016, 07:53:37 PM »

I trust Field and Marist more than a Newspaper poll. Also note that the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of time here. I don't think they would be if their internals showed her up 10.

At the same time, Hillary only ever seems to campaign in states where she thinks shes going to win. Her internals could show a close race, but it could also be her attempt at putting Sanders away for good.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #13 on: June 02, 2016, 07:55:25 PM »

I trust Field and Marist more than a Newspaper poll. Also note that the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of time here. I don't think they would be if their internals showed her up 10.

USC's polls are historically solid.

Plus, where else should she bother campaigning?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: June 02, 2016, 07:56:04 PM »

A lot of news sites seem to be running with the "Sanders +1" number, very misleading.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #15 on: June 02, 2016, 07:59:26 PM »

I trust Field and Marist more than a Newspaper poll. Also note that the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of time here. I don't think they would be if their internals showed her up 10.

USC's polls are historically solid.

Plus, where else should she bother campaigning?

Gemeral election swing states. Heck, she could broadly define that to include New Mexico, which also votes Tuesday. No matter what TRUMP says, CA is not a swing state in the general.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: June 03, 2016, 12:32:49 AM »

I trust Field and Marist more than a Newspaper poll. Also note that the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of time here. I don't think they would be if their internals showed her up 10.

USC's polls are historically solid.

Plus, where else should she bother campaigning?

Gemeral election swing states. Heck, she could broadly define that to include New Mexico, which also votes Tuesday. No matter what TRUMP says, CA is not a swing state in the general.

Bill was in New Mexico yesterday and both he and Hillary were in New Jersey the day before.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #17 on: June 03, 2016, 01:09:53 AM »

I trust Field and Marist more than a Newspaper poll. Also note that the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of time here. I don't think they would be if their internals showed her up 10.

Also note, dear boy, that Clinton campaigned as much to run up margins as to win close states.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #18 on: June 03, 2016, 09:33:43 AM »

It's over, Bernie.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2016, 09:39:33 AM »

Looks like this will end up being the closest to the mark when all is said and done.
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