Post Trump vs Clinton swing state county maps here!
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Author Topic: Post Trump vs Clinton swing state county maps here!  (Read 2916 times)
Spark
Spark498
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« on: June 03, 2016, 11:59:55 AM »
« edited: June 04, 2016, 07:43:59 PM by Spark498 »

Use this to post your own maps: http://diymaps.net/index.htm

   











Do this look plausible? Feel free to post and provide analysis if necessary.
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Devils30
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2016, 12:10:59 PM »

You gotta be on acid to think Trump will win Franklin County, OH, Allegheny County, PA
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2016, 12:18:25 PM »

Trump can forget the county with Cincinnati. Obama won it twice.
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Spark
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2016, 12:42:39 PM »

You gotta be on acid to think Trump will win Franklin County, OH, Allegheny County, PA

You're right about Franklin County but Allegheny is psssible because of his blue collar appeal.

Trump can forget the county with Cincinnati. Obama won it twice.

Hillary Clinton is not half of what Obama was.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2016, 12:45:14 PM »
« Edited: June 03, 2016, 12:47:29 PM by Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ »

Trump doesn't have a chance in Allegheny. That's one of the silliest rationales I've ever heard, and the whole PA map is ludicrous. Luzerne would flip way before that, and I don't expect a win there. Probably 50-48 or so.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2016, 12:46:44 PM »

You're right about Franklin County but Allegheny is psssible because of his blue collar appeal.

The idea of DONALD TRUMP of all people having blue-collar appeal is laughable.
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Hammy
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2016, 12:49:27 PM »

Trump isn't winning Michigan while losing Iowa and Virginia...
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Angrie
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2016, 12:51:36 PM »

Trump doesn't have a chance in Allegheny. That's one of the silliest rationales I've ever heard, and the whole PA map is ludicrous. Luzerne would flip way before that, and I don't expect a win there. Probably 50-48 or so.

Yes. Even if Trump's appeal to working class whites turns out well for him, Alleghany has a lot of blacks. Luzerne does not.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #8 on: June 03, 2016, 12:56:07 PM »

And what's the deal with Adams OH?
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Spark
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2016, 01:14:15 PM »


Fixed.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2016, 01:22:11 PM »
« Edited: June 03, 2016, 01:24:33 PM by Nyvin »

WTF...Trump winning Grafton, Merrimack, and Coos in NH???

If Trump is going to win NH (lol) it's going to be by racking up large margins in Hillsborough and Rockingham....not flipping Grafton.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2016, 01:38:15 PM »

After listening to Hillary's speech last night, I've realized that none of the states in the OP are going to be swing states.  She took on Trump exactly the right way, and I have little doubt that she will succeed in reducing Trump's support to his core constituency by the time November arrives.  I think we're looking at a Johnson-esque landslide, perhaps even greater.

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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #12 on: June 03, 2016, 02:09:33 PM »

I think we're looking at a Johnson-esque landslide, perhaps even greater.

I'm starting to think it might be all 50 states.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: June 03, 2016, 02:13:12 PM »

I think we're looking at a Johnson-esque landslide, perhaps even greater.

I'm starting to think it might be all 50 states.

You also "thought" NC was going to be a safe D state in 2004, that Paul would lose in 2010, ALG and Conway would win in a landslide and that Trump will lose Kentucky.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #14 on: June 03, 2016, 02:14:35 PM »

I think we're looking at a Johnson-esque landslide, perhaps even greater.

I'm starting to think it might be all 50 states.

Not while West Virginia remains a state.
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skoods
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« Reply #15 on: June 03, 2016, 02:18:32 PM »

Bucks County, PA has voted Democratic every election since 1988. ZERO AND I MEAN ZERO perfect chance it votes for Trump.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: June 03, 2016, 02:19:40 PM »

Bucks County, PA has voted Democratic every election since 1988. ZERO AND I MEAN ZERO perfect chance it votes for Trump.

Um, Obama only won it by 1 point.
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Xing
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« Reply #17 on: June 03, 2016, 02:20:46 PM »

Sorry, most of these maps are way too bullish on Trump. He's not winning Washoe, Saginaw, Oakland, or nearly that many counties in Colorado and Iowa.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #18 on: June 03, 2016, 02:21:54 PM »

Bucks County, PA has voted Democratic every election since 1988. ZERO AND I MEAN ZERO perfect chance it votes for Trump.

I'd give Trump about an 80% chance there - he will obviously lose the state but swing it.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: June 03, 2016, 02:22:39 PM »

Bucks County, PA has voted Democratic every election since 1988. ZERO AND I MEAN ZERO perfect chance it votes for Trump.

I'd give Trump about an 80% chance there - he will obviously lose the state but swing it.

Why?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #20 on: June 03, 2016, 02:23:16 PM »

You also "thought" NC was going to be a safe D state in 2004, that Paul would lose in 2010, ALG and Conway would win in a landslide and that Trump will lose Kentucky.

I also thought Obama would win Indiana in 2008, and the Democrats would win back Congress in 2006.

Oh wait, they did.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #21 on: June 03, 2016, 02:23:30 PM »


Trump can forget the county with Cincinnati. Obama won it twice.

Hillary Clinton is not half of what Obama was.

of course, but the stubby-fingered rapist is not a tenth of what romney was.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #22 on: June 03, 2016, 02:24:25 PM »

Not while West Virginia remains a state.

After Trump gave an interview where he said coal miners are stupid?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #23 on: June 03, 2016, 02:30:03 PM »


It might be his best state, but I'm starting to have my doubts he can even win that.
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Devils30
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« Reply #24 on: June 03, 2016, 03:15:52 PM »

In Florida, no way Trump wins Hillsborough, with its demographics Trump is looking at 10%+ defeat possibly. Pinellas won't flip either. If Hillary wins the state by 5% I could see Sarasota flipping blue as Trump is a worse fit for these wealthier areas than Romney. Trump could expand on Romney in Volusia.
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