Which of these results is the least likely?
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  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Which of these results is the least likely?
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Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Sanders wins CA
 
#2
Clinton wins MT
 
#3
Sanders wins NJ
 
#4
Sanders wins NM
 
#5
Clinton wins ND
 
#6
Clinton wins SD
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 31

Author Topic: Which of these results is the least likely?  (Read 228 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: June 03, 2016, 06:40:10 PM »

You can also mention which one you think is the most likely.

I've promised to grow a beard if Sanders wins NJ, I'll also do so if Clinton wins ND. I think both are equally impossibleunlikely.

The most likely is probably Clinton winning SD, though it seems Sanders might yet have a chance in CA.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2016, 06:46:08 PM »

From most likely to least likely

1. Sanders wins California
2. Clinton wins South Dakota
3. Sanders wins New Mexico
4. Clinton wins Montana
5. Sanders wins New Jersey
6. Clinton wins North Dakota*

*Caucus
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2016, 07:09:21 PM »

Sanders wins New Jersey. Can't see it.
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2016, 07:10:49 PM »

Here's my most likely to least likely list.

1. Clinton wins South Dakota
2. Sanders wins California


3. Sanders wins New Mexico



4. Sanders wins New Jersey









5. Clinton wins Montana
6. Clinton wins North Dakota
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2016, 07:14:07 PM »


Clinton wins South Dakota 53% Chance of Happening
Sanders wins California 27% Chance of Happening
Clinton wins Montana 25% Chance of Happening
Sanders wins New Mexico 12% Chance of Happening
Clinton wins North Dakota* 8% Chance of Happening
Sanders wins New Jersey 6% Chance of Happening
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