Predict Hillary Clinton's popular vote percentage in the GE

[Spark]

I personally think she tops John Kerry's result in 2004. Around 48.8%

[NHI]

Presently I'd put her in the 48%-49%.
If she loses, then I suspect it'll be a point or less.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

53%-55%

[heatcharger]

If Johnson is a serious candidate, 48%-49%.
If Johnson gets less than 1% again, 52%-53%.

Democrats have a pretty high floor, they've won the PV 5 out of 6 times as everyone knows.

[President Johnson]

48.0% compared to TRUMP's 50%.

[Virginiá]

If Johnson is a serious candidate, 48%-49%.
If Johnson gets less than 1% again, 52%-53%.

Democrats have a pretty high floor, they've won the PV 5 out of 6 times as everyone knows.

And it's only getting higher. I think at this point, it's pretty widely known, which isn't great news for Republicans if their most realistic and ambitious win scenarios always end up involving a bare win of between 270 - 290 electoral votes. They've fallen quite far from their days of constant 400+ EV landslides.

After this whole Trump business, I wonder just how long it's going to take them to finally begin adapting to a highly diverse & rapidly changing electorate. They are going to be in serious trouble if they continue losing the 18-29 yr old vote by such gaping margins.

[Crumpets]

52% with a good showing for third parties, but no party in particular. So maybe trump gets around 44-45%.

[Xing]

If third parties do well, 49-50%, if they do as they usually do, roughly 52%.

[tallguy23]

Right now.....52%.

[Holmes]

What's with the obsession of some people on this site that a right-wing third party will siphon votes from the Democrat?

[Wisconsin+17]

52 for Hillary.

52/40/8.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I'm gonna go with the crowd guessing 52%.

[Higgs]

49%

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

53% Clinton
47% Trump

[Maxwell]

50-52%, with 3rd parties taking up around 3.5% of the vote.

[Nyvin]

53%

It will be a similar vote total to Obama's 2008 numbers.

[mds32]

46%-47%

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

49% of the vote, but with fewer votes than Romney 2012.

The only sure prediction I'm making this year is brutally low turnout.

[MT Treasurer]

48.7%. She wins the popular vote but loses in the Electoral college.

[Spark]

48.7%. She wins the popular vote but loses in the Electoral college.

I can agree with that.

[Maxwell]

48.7%. She wins the popular vote but loses in the Electoral college.

With the map the way it is, I don't see how that makes sense. If anything, I think Clinton losing the popular vote but winning the electoral college is far more likely, but both scenarios being incredibly unlikely.

[Fuzzy Says: "Abolish NPR!"]

I personally think she tops John Kerry's result in 2004. Around 48.8%

I think about 48%

That may be enough to win.  It is not out of the question that 10% of the voters will vote 3rd party this year.

[skoods]

100%

After all, she "stole" the primary so she'll probably rig the general too, right Bernie?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

47%.  Trump wins 51-47.

[TDAS04]

52%.  Hillary wins 52-46.