What will Gary Johnson's % be in the GE?

[Senator-elect Spark]

Vote and discuss.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

About 3%

[Fuzzy Bear]

I think these guys will break the 5% mark.  Given that the Good Ship David French sank in the harbor, the level of disgust with both Trump and Clinton, and the degree to which both Democrats and Republicans can find something to like in Johnson/Weld, I don't think that 5% is an unreasonable outcome.  Johnson and Weld are real Presidential candidates, with resumes consistent with whom one would expect on a MAJOR party ticket. 

[Bigby]

1% just like in 2012. Must I remind everyone how clinically insane the third parties are?

[Higgs]

Better than 2012, but still under 2%

[Mercenary]

Should be higher since the ticket is easily the most qualified of anyone running this year.
But voters dont think and are generally partisan hacks so despite the dislike of the two rottem nominees this year I doubt he gets higher than 3~5%.

[SATW]

1% just like in 2012. Must I remind everyone how clinically insane the third parties are?

Oh, this is gold. Trump supporters calling other people insane is just adorable.

[SillyAmerican]

Should be higher since the ticket is easily the most qualified of anyone running this year.
But voters dont think and are generally partisan hacks so despite the dislike of the two rottem nominees this year I doubt he gets higher than 3~5%.

Agreed. And I'd actually call it a victory of sorts if he were to get near 5%.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm optimistic they can double their 2012 performance, which is to say they can get 2%.

[Maxwell]

Just around 2%.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Probably around 2% but I can see Johnson going up as high as 5% in the right circumstances.

[Green Line]

.9%

[Meclazine for Israel]

8-9%

I think he will surprise.

[Mr. Morden]

I think the over/under is only ~2%, but it's a probability distribution with a very long tail, meaning that there's a non-negligible probability that it goes much higher than that.

[Badger]

1 to 2%. Maybe 3% at tops.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Twice as well as he did last time, around 2%. 3% if he does exceptionally well.

[Vosem]

I think Nader's '00 performance (2.76%) is the real over/under, and the real 50/50 point (I voted 3% in the poll), but I want to echo Morden in that I think the distribution has a very long tail.

[Sir Mohamed]

Around 2% I guess. 5% at best.

[Incipimus iterum]

Atleast 2% to 3% at best.

[Stranger in a strange land]

8-9%

I think he will surprise.

He'll poll 8-9% the week before the election and get 3% on election day. Third Parties always overpoll, usually by a lot.

[MIKESOWELL]

I think Gary Johnson will get between 2 and 3 percent of the total popular vote.

[pho]

2% at most. If it looks like Johnson is significantly cutting into either Hillary or Trump's vote total, the media will pay attention to him and that's the nail in his coffin. Can you imagine Gary Johnson, an awkward person to say the least, explaining the most troubling parts of the Libertarian platform to a broader electorate? Yes Gary, please explain to low income seniors how exactly why Medicare and Social Security need abolished. See how much they care about the Constitution or the free market

[mgop]

in 2012 after libertarian revolution he won 0,99% lol so now not more than 0.5%

[dax00]

Around 10%, and Jill Stein gets 4%

[Downnice]

Both of the two major candidates quite frankly suck so I think Johnson is going to do well. In certain states like New Mexico, Idaho,  Wyoming, Montana he could easily get between 7-10% and around 5% in states like Colorado, Utah, Oregon, Nevada

Nationally I think he will get around 3-4% of the general vote, and his peak could be up to 6% depending on how much people do not like Clinton or Trump