Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)

[Xing]

Sanders is ahead in Sanders country, MT!

edit: Damnit, realisticidealist.

[Crumpets]

LOL. Someone has hacked into Steve Kornacki's big board!

[Boston Bread]

This was my prediction map I made right after the Iowa Caucus

Blue-Clinton
Red-Sanders

I actually didn't do too badly.

Good job predicting IN and WV, although you had missed most of the caucuses.

[Wisconsin+17]

Montana has flipped to Sanders. First time that has happened tonight.

With the North Dakota loss that makes it 51 states that Hillary has lost in contested primaries - a record for a successful nominee. Montana may make number 52.

[yourelection]

With 11% in already in CA, Clinton maintains a respectiable 62% to 36% lead. This may still change, but still a little surprising.

[/]

Montana has flipped to Sanders. First time that has happened tonight.

ohp

[ElectionsGuy]

Does anyone know what's up with Bernalillo County NM? CNN has it with a Bernie lead and over 70K total votes, and 86% reporting. NYT has it with a Clinton lead with only about 60K votes and 100% reporting.

[BundouYMB]

Montana flipped because most of Missoula came in. But none of Yellowstone (Billings) is in yet. Could easily flip back to Clinton.

[Gass3268]

So has New Jersey stopped counting votes for the rest of the night?

[Wisconsin+17]

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CA is done.

[ElectionsGuy]

New Mexico, despite being called, has gotten closer. 51.6-48.4 Clinton right now.

[john cage bubblegum]

Looks like we got a dump of precincts in Missoula.  Only a 60-37 margin is not what Sanders was hoping for there.  This thing could be very close, and Clinton is very much in play.  I was expecting a very close race in SD with a Clinton tilt; but I was not expecting this result in Montana.

[Xing]

Since the cities in MT (other than Missoula) are still only reporting "early results", I'd be surprised if the percentages didn't move in Sanders' favor. He'll probably still win MT, but by much less than he should have. He underperformed everywhere except NM and ND.

[Gass3268]

New Mexico, despite being called, has gotten closer. 51.6-48.4 Clinton right now.

It would be hilarious if he does better in New Mexico than South Dakota.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

How can NM be 98% reporting when Santa Fe hasn't been counted except the early vote?

98% of precincts

[RR1997]

This was my prediction map I made right after the Iowa Caucus

Blue-Clinton
Red-Sanders

I actually didn't do too badly.

Good job predicting IN and WV, although you had missed most of the caucuses.

Keep in mind that I made this map when Clinton had a huuuuuge lead over Sanders nationwide.

Michigan was a state that really surprised me. I know that Bernie is a perfect fit for a lot of working-class whites in the state, but I expected Clinton to win due to black voters.

[psychprofessor]

CBS news: Clinton "likely" to win California LOL
Way to be on the cutting edge CBS!

[Xing]

Dang, Albuquerque is now for Sanders. He probably could've pulled off an upset here if he had campaigned more. Why is it so much more favorable for him than AZ? Is it just age?

[Wisconsin+17]

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Santa Fe is out - that will shift back to Clinton.

[RI]

If you look at the NM SoS's page, only 28% of precincts statewide are completely reported.

[Boston Bread]

RR1997: This was my prediction in Jan 21 2016


https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/PRESIDENT/2016D/pred.php?id=329&action=indpred&s=submit

[NOVA Green]

Ok... not saying that Sanders will win Cali, but honestly there is a major over reaction to early VbM results  that were always expected to overwhelmingly favor Hillary.

For example early votes show Hillary winning Marin 63-36 and Sonoma 55-44 and SF 37-62, not even to speak elsewhere in the state.

These numbers are definitely impressive with early "vote-banking" and it looks like there is a decent chance that Hillary will win the state, but I ask those of you that are not residents of West Coast and heavily VbM states to automatically assume that the initial results that we are seeing is anywhere close to the final results.

[Bojack Horseman]

Tammy Duckworth has just unveiled this site: https://trumporkirk.com

[RI]

Also, Sanders has taken a strong lead in Oglala Lakota County, SD

[ElectionsGuy]

WTF. Why are there always so many errors and changes on these election nights? The vote transferring and reporting process really needs to be cleaned up in some places.