Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 67670 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: June 07, 2016, 04:36:02 PM »
There's a non-zero chance of a Clinton sweep. Really depends on how many Sanders supporters heard about Clinton clinching and how they react to that. Historically, Sanders should see a drop in support.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 04:42:22 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on June 07, 2016, 04:39:40 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on June 07, 2016, 04:36:02 PM
There's a non-zero chance of a Clinton sweep. Really depends on how many Sanders supporters heard about Clinton clinching and how they react to that. Historically, Sanders should see a drop in support.

She's hopeless in North Dakota. Caucus with no absentees.

Doesn't matter if Sanders supporters are too demoralized to show up and leaners accept what is presented as inevitable, as is what usually happens in situations like this.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 07:25:31 PM »
I wouldn't be surprised if Bernie lost every county in NJ, if the neighboring counties are any indication.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 07:33:35 PM »
Quote from: LLR, Raging Cynic on June 07, 2016, 07:32:13 PM
Where are you guys getting these Atlantic County results? I'm seeing the same numbers for Gloucester County next door...

Cnn has numbers for Ocean County, but I don't see Atlantic.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 08:01:24 PM »
Clinton leading 54-46 in SD
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 08:21:04 PM »
SD Natives seem to be feeling the Bern
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 08:28:36 PM »
Clinton's lead in SD now 53.4-46.6 w/ 36% in
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 08:42:53 PM »
Clinton's margin in SD down to 6.44%
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 08:44:01 PM »
Sanders now leading in Warren County, NJ
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 08:48:25 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on June 07, 2016, 08:48:00 PM
Who are the other 11% in North Dakota going to? Huh

Uncommitted
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 08:55:59 PM »
Quote from: politicallefty on June 07, 2016, 08:54:41 PM
Quote from: xingkerui on June 07, 2016, 08:52:38 PM
I guess SD just has a Hillary fetish. Maybe it'll make the GE map ugly too...

It's the only Plains state that holds a primary. I wonder how many of the others would have had different results if they weren't caucuses.

The SD results are almost identical to the NE beauty contest results.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 09:08:22 PM »
Clinton's lead in SD down to 5.84%. Falling, but not very quickly.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 09:11:24 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on June 07, 2016, 09:08:22 PM
Clinton's lead in SD down to 5.84%. Falling, but not very quickly.

Now 5.54% with 58% in
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 09:14:58 PM »
Eh, it's really early in MT. I wouldn't read much into the results yet.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 09:18:06 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on June 07, 2016, 09:11:24 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on June 07, 2016, 09:08:22 PM
Clinton's lead in SD down to 5.84%. Falling, but not very quickly.
Now 5.54% with 58% in

5.38% with 59% in
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 09:23:00 PM »

4.88% with 61% in
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 09:32:09 PM »

3.14% with 67% in
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 09:42:13 PM »
Quote from: Encke on June 07, 2016, 09:38:36 PM
Why does NYT still have Montana at <1% reporting?

Because it's all early vote.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2016, 09:53:27 PM »

2.58% with 73% in
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2016, 09:54:29 PM »
Sanders won Sussex County, NJ
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2016, 09:59:06 PM »
Clinton's lead under 2% in MT as Missoula reports in.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2016, 10:07:53 PM »

All Napa County absentees
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #22 on: June 07, 2016, 10:15:16 PM »
Sanders losing in Shasta isn't a good sign for him.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #23 on: June 07, 2016, 10:16:48 PM »
Sanders is greatly outperforming Obama in Sierra County, though.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #24 on: June 07, 2016, 11:14:52 PM »
Sanders leading in Sanders County, MT
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