"GOP mulls convention challenge to Trump" LATEST: unbinding voted down in cmte (user search)
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  "GOP mulls convention challenge to Trump" LATEST: unbinding voted down in cmte (search mode)
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Author Topic: "GOP mulls convention challenge to Trump" LATEST: unbinding voted down in cmte  (Read 9566 times)
Virginiá
Virginia
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E: -6.97, S: -5.91

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« on: June 07, 2016, 01:50:36 PM »

Yeah, as if overturning the will of GOP voters will allow them to win. First off, their voters would practically revolt - The final proof that the establishment is only in this for themselves and screws them every chance they get. They will see this as the establishment taking their chance at "winning" and flushing it because it may hurt their corrupt agenda.

Second, whoever they nominate will not only suffer from a severely split party and widespread resentment, but they start off with a significant disadvantage in cash and field infrastructure. They basically start out with nothing, except maybe a Super PAC filled with tens of millions of dollars from desperate billionaires. That won't be as helpful as one would like to think, seeing as the candidate would be just starting out with little time to catch up.

Terrible idea. If they wanted an alternative, they should have worked something out much earlier.
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 02:13:09 PM »

Trump never won the majority of Republican primary voters, not even close.  The voters won't revolt (at least most of them wont), they're only going along with Trump now because he's the presumptive nominee.

It doesn't even take a majority, though. Even say, a 10% reduction in support due to such a mess would doom Republicans in November - Quite substantially at that. There are enough true Trump supporters to make such a situation likely, imo. Republicans are already stretched thin at the national level - They can't afford such defections. Perhaps if this was the 80s, but it isn't.

However this is just a hypothetical, but I think it would be wrong to say there would be no significant negative effects if the GOP stole his nomination.
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 02:25:46 PM »

A lot of the Trumpets would turn out regardless due to their dislike of Hillary, and I'm willing to bet that slotting in a competent Republican would more than make up the lost Republicans by dominating with independents.  Look how badly Hillary does against them against Trump.

Well, neither one of us truly knows how they will react to such a situation, so all we have our are theories. However, you can't really go off of current polls or their current actions to try and figure out how such a situation would turn out. Those polls reflect the race as it is now, and not what it would be after such a disaster. That's all I really have to say about that.
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2016, 03:17:58 PM »

I don't understand why Walker would be their pick after what he did in Wisconsin regarding his campaign finance issues. He and his Republican friends quickly & quietly disbanded the state GAB and replaced it with a partisan board for no good, legitimate reason. At the same time, he also quietly signed a bill loosening campaign finance restrictions. And iirc, there were also concerns about his State Supreme Court appointment(s). He could also be hit for helping rig the state maps in the last round of redistricting. This would be more potent if the current lawsuit against these rigged maps succeeds. Their trial wrapped up a week or two ago and the plaintiffs did make a good case.

Point is, if they plan to toss in a candidate at the last minute - One who will have little time to build up a viable campaign, Walker doesn't seem like the best option. Painting him as corrupt doesn't seem like it would be that hard.
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