ABC releases electoral map
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Author Topic: ABC releases electoral map  (Read 3966 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: June 10, 2016, 10:29:28 AM »
« edited: June 10, 2016, 10:34:08 AM by TN volunteer »
>VA more likely to vote Republican than PA
>NH Toss-up
>ME-02 and NE-02 safe D/R

Junk...



http://fox11online.com/news/nation-world/list-10-battleground-states-to-watch-in-november
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2016, 10:38:37 AM »
Colorado not a tossup??
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2016, 10:40:08 AM »
Arizona safe R?
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Kevin
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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2016, 10:40:41 AM »

I'm not too surprised CO is lean Democratic but I am that PA isn't listed as a toss up. As most polling has shown it to be very close.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2016, 10:44:16 AM »

Virginia shouldn't be one either.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2016, 11:46:29 AM »
Why is Colorado not crimson?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2016, 12:04:50 PM »
Virginia as a whole is a tossup, but Northampton and Accomack counties are safe Democratic.

Makes sense.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2016, 12:11:10 PM »
Where did the meme that ME-02 is a swing district come from
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Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2016, 12:25:38 PM »
Quote from: YaBoyNY on June 10, 2016, 12:11:10 PM
Where did the meme that ME-02 is a swing district come from

BrucePoliquin.jpg

I'd say it's Lean D, though.
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2016, 12:51:49 PM »
I agree that CO should be tossup, and would even say it is one of the most likely states to flip because they tend to like third party candidates more than many other states.
I could easily see FL being the "tipping point" states. I think Clinton is popular there and that it will tend more and more Democratic in this and future elections. It was the only state that I got wrong in 2012, although it was a plurality and not a majority state like most were.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2016, 12:52:51 PM »
Quote from: tmc on June 10, 2016, 12:51:49 PM
I agree that CO should be tossup, and would even say it is one of the most likely states to flip because they tend to like third party candidates more than many other states.
I could easily see FL being the "tipping point" states. I think Clinton is popular there and that it will tend more and more Democratic in this and future elections. It was the only state that I got wrong in 2012, although it was a plurality and not a majority state like most were.
IA may also be trending Republican and I wouldn't be surprised to see it flip.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2016, 01:12:09 PM »
If polls start to show Clinton with a clear lead in 270+ EVs, will media outlets fudge the state ratings to make it appear that it's still a race?  I mean, what happens if/when Clinton opens up a consistent 5-point lead in FL and OH?  Still call them tossups?
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2016, 01:28:22 PM »
This is an excellent map for Clinton. Only eight electoral votes from victory although it gives Trump a possibilty to win however small. The election could tighten up with a long way to go. Clinton hasn't won this yet, no matter how you choose to spin it.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: June 10, 2016, 01:34:43 PM »
CO needs to be a tossup because of its Clinton-hatred (but Bernie endorsing her should help her there).

AZ should be lean-GOP.

KY/IN/MO/MS could all be lean-GOP as well.

PA might be a tossup too.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: June 10, 2016, 01:57:14 PM »
Quote from: Beef on June 10, 2016, 01:12:09 PM
If polls start to show Clinton with a clear lead in 270+ EVs, will media outlets fudge the state ratings to make it appear that it's still a race?  I mean, what happens if/when Clinton opens up a consistent 5-point lead in FL and OH?  Still call them tossups?

Yes. In late October 2008 they still pretended McCain had a chance.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #15 on: June 10, 2016, 02:07:22 PM »
Ok I've never really agreed with your NH shtick but having it as a tossup while Colorado and Pennsylvania are Lean D doesn't make sense to me.

Having AZ as Safe in this year of all years doesn't make sense either.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: June 10, 2016, 02:07:49 PM »
Does anyone know when these guys will put their map online? It was my favorite four years ago. There were maps already in eary June 2008 and 2012.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #17 on: June 10, 2016, 02:14:20 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on June 10, 2016, 02:07:49 PM
Does anyone know when these guys will put their map online? It was my favorite four years ago. There were maps already in eary June 2008 and 2012.

When there are enough polls to justify doing so.  Bane of Linus is rather conservative in his outlook.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #18 on: June 10, 2016, 02:35:11 PM »
How in the hell is Colorado lean D and Virginia a pure toss up?

ABC is living in 2008.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: June 10, 2016, 03:00:54 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on June 10, 2016, 01:57:14 PM
Quote from: Beef on June 10, 2016, 01:12:09 PM
If polls start to show Clinton with a clear lead in 270+ EVs, will media outlets fudge the state ratings to make it appear that it's still a race?  I mean, what happens if/when Clinton opens up a consistent 5-point lead in FL and OH?  Still call them tossups?

Yes. In late October 2008 they still pretended McCain had a chance.

MSNBC at least was honest in 2008, though they waited until a week before the election to put Obama above 270: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7ueeaFJk8w
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Rick Grimes
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« Reply #20 on: June 10, 2016, 03:01:40 PM »
Bad map. So much wrong here i am speechless. NH for one is a solid R state, and Dems will flip Utah (Mormons).
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #21 on: June 10, 2016, 03:03:33 PM »
Big mistake on Nevada.

Content Nevada Hispanics will not settle for this madness.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #22 on: June 10, 2016, 03:21:25 PM »
After all Mitt has said about Trump, Utah solid Republican?
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LLR
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« Reply #23 on: June 10, 2016, 03:22:39 PM »
So a generic map? Exciting.....
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Figueira
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« Reply #24 on: June 10, 2016, 03:59:53 PM »
Where is the map?
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