The Upshot's new demographic tool
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April 26, 2024, 08:39:48 PM
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Author Topic: The Upshot's new demographic tool  (Read 4047 times)
nclib
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« Reply #25 on: July 04, 2016, 04:13:53 PM »
How are some of these calculated/estimated when there weren't even any exit polls in 19 states in 2012?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #26 on: August 26, 2016, 05:49:48 PM »
For the first time I have seen, it looks like the NYT's UpShot currently has Hillary at a
90% chance of winning the presidency.

Link: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0
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Lachi
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« Reply #27 on: August 26, 2016, 06:00:21 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on August 26, 2016, 05:49:48 PM
For the first time I have seen, it looks like the NYT's UpShot currently has Hillary at a
90% chance of winning the presidency.

Link: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0

If I can add to that, the democrats currently have a 57% chance of retaking the senate, according to the upshot model.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: August 28, 2016, 04:17:59 AM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on August 26, 2016, 05:49:48 PM
For the first time I have seen, it looks like the NYT's UpShot currently has Hillary at a
90% chance of winning the presidency.

Link: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0

New Mexico finally moved out of battleground territory
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #29 on: October 18, 2016, 10:00:19 AM »
Yesterday, October 18th, Hillary reached in all-time-high in UpShot's numbers ...
Hillary Clinton has a 91% chance to win !
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