Can Johnson win any states?
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Author Topic: Can Johnson win any states?  (Read 2245 times)
Spark
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« on: June 10, 2016, 07:40:50 PM »
Huh
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Desroko
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« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2016, 07:42:24 PM »
North Takoma, Calisota, and Winnemac are all possibles.
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sparkey
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2016, 07:42:47 PM »
Doubt it, but let's try!
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NHI
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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2016, 07:46:46 PM »
No.
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MisSkeptic
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« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2016, 07:50:31 PM »
Only if this was a parallel universe.
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Figueira
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2016, 07:51:42 PM »
He'll win every state except New Hampshire.
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amdcpus
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2016, 07:53:00 PM »
If he exclusively campaigns in Utah and Wyoming, then yea.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2016, 07:55:05 PM »
Even if he got 15%, which would be an epic success for him, he wouldn't win any states (see Perot).  I guess the question is - if he won a state, which would be the first one?  My best guess would be Utah.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2016, 08:21:31 PM »
If Romney endorses/campaigns for him and Trump completely collapses, he'd have an outside shot of winning Utah. Otherwise, no.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2016, 08:48:45 PM »
The state of denial.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2016, 08:54:18 PM »
NO!
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MichaelRbn
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2016, 08:59:46 PM »
If he wins Duckburg, Calisota's in the bag.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2016, 09:11:32 PM »
Nope.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #13 on: June 10, 2016, 09:23:01 PM »
very unlikely
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Ljube
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« Reply #14 on: June 11, 2016, 02:29:11 AM »
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: June 11, 2016, 05:25:48 AM »
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Frodo
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« Reply #16 on: June 11, 2016, 05:27:24 AM »

Shouldn't you be supporting Gary Johnson instead of Donald Trump, given your username? 
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Drew
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« Reply #17 on: June 11, 2016, 08:02:01 AM »
A more realistic question would be if he could win any counties.  Perot 92 won some with 18-19% of the PV, but he didn't win any states.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #18 on: June 11, 2016, 08:40:47 AM »
I think if he's winning states, it's because he's a serious contender for the Presidency, with 30%+ of the popular vote. I can't really see him winning a state or two while coming in a distant third overall, Libertarian support is too uniform.
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Downnice
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« Reply #19 on: June 11, 2016, 12:18:48 PM »
If Romney full on endores and campaigns for Johnson I can see winning Utah and maybe Wyoming and taking Counties in New Mexico, Colorado and possibly Mass
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Crumpets
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« Reply #20 on: June 11, 2016, 12:24:40 PM »
No. Barry Goldwater is God on Earth and will crush him in every state except for maybe West Virginia and Georgia which would vote Democratic even if they nominated a black man for President.
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Fuzzy Says: "Abolish NPR!"
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« Reply #21 on: June 11, 2016, 02:55:53 PM »
I think they might be able to, but a lot of things would have to happen for this to come to pass.

I think that the Constitution Party would be more likely to carry states IF they nominate candidates with the stature of Johnson and Weld (two former GOP Governors).  If the Constitution Party nominated, say, Ben Sasse and Mike Lee, they'd carry some states.  They might carry enough to throw the election into the House of Representatives.  GOP anti-Trumpers (particularly the "movement conservatives") would find it much easer to support a Sasse-Lee ticket than a Johnson-Weld ticket, because it's far closer to where they are, politically.
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Vega
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« Reply #22 on: June 11, 2016, 03:07:41 PM »
If he gets into the debates then I could see him winning a Western state or two. New Mexico has been trending Democratic too much for him to win it. Utah or the mentioned Wyoming could happen though.

Maine or Alaska are the only other possibilities outside of the West, though.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #23 on: June 11, 2016, 03:11:50 PM »
Quote from: Vega on June 11, 2016, 03:07:41 PM
If he gets into the debates then I could see him winning a Western state or two. New Mexico has been trending Democratic too much for him to win it. Utah or the mentioned Wyoming could happen though.

Maine or Alaska are the only other possibilities outside of the West, though.
Interesting, I wasn't aware Alaska was not a Western State. 
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TDAS04
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« Reply #24 on: June 11, 2016, 05:00:16 PM »
Extremely unlikely.
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