Hillary Holding Double-Digit Lead Over Trump in Latest Reuters/Ipsos Poll
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  Hillary Holding Double-Digit Lead Over Trump in Latest Reuters/Ipsos Poll
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Author Topic: Hillary Holding Double-Digit Lead Over Trump in Latest Reuters/Ipsos Poll  (Read 1130 times)
Frodo
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« on: June 10, 2016, 09:21:09 PM »

With 19% still undecided, however:

Clinton leads Trump by 11 points in White House race: Reuters/Ipsos poll
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2016, 11:46:05 AM »

Great!
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2016, 11:53:52 AM »

The polls seem to be jumping wildly.

46% is not enough to win in a binary race, but it is far easier to win from 46% than from 35% or so.

And yet she's tied with Trump in FL and PA?

A 10% lead nationwide for Hillary Clinton indicates that either (1) the Reuters-Ipsos poll is wrong, or (2) recent polls in Florida, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania are obsolete.

Interpret these data as you wish. We will get more evidence to document or disprove one or the other.

Donald Trump is beginning to look as if he has something to hide, and attacking a jurist on frivolous grounds looks very, very bad. 
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Seriously?
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« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2016, 07:03:16 PM »

And yet she's tied with Trump in FL and PA?
LV vs. RV. Most of the state polls are LV. Most of these nationwide polls are just RV at this point in time.

Also the sample was something like D+13 with this survey with very few Indies. I'm pretty sure that's on the high side as far as that goes, since 2012 was in the D+6 ballpark. 2014 was D+1.

If FL and PA are even, the race has to be close.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2016, 07:17:53 PM »

I'm not sounding sore in this or trying to be a sore loser in this poll but why do we even have national polls we don't have a national race.
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Wells
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« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2016, 07:59:49 PM »

Interesting poll. Maybe Hillary is close in swing states but ahead in national polling due to the margins in Dem states getting larger. Also, population growth in Dem states is larger than population growth in Republican states. A combination of these factors could cause this discrepancy. It's very likely that Trump could win the electoral but lose the popular vote.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2016, 08:10:31 PM »

Interesting poll. Maybe Hillary is close in swing states but ahead in national polling due to the margins in Dem states getting larger. Also, population growth in Dem states is larger than population growth in Republican states. A combination of these factors could cause this discrepancy. It's very likely that Trump could win the electoral but lose the popular vote.
I think this is respondents as opposed to even registered or likely voters at this point. It's definitely internet. It's probably best at this point to look at for movement than margin, if that makes any sense. It's really far out of whack with most of the other polling.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2016, 08:42:39 PM »

Interesting poll. Maybe Hillary is close in swing states but ahead in national polling due to the margins in Dem states getting larger. Also, population growth in Dem states is larger than population growth in Republican states. A combination of these factors could cause this discrepancy. It's very likely that Trump could win the electoral but lose the popular vote.

I actually think it's the opposite. Polls have shown a consistent leads in Wisconsin and Ohio and a slight lead in Florida and Pennsylvania, while states like New Jersey and Oregon (albeit a junk poll) might be closer than expected.
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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: June 11, 2016, 09:20:08 PM »

I'm not sounding sore in this or trying to be a sore loser in this poll but why do we even have national polls we don't have a national race.

Don't you worry, TRUMP will win the states of New York and California! He even said so himself!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: June 11, 2016, 09:37:18 PM »

rofl lmao reuters.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: June 11, 2016, 10:11:52 PM »

Considering the source, who cares...
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: June 13, 2016, 09:03:42 AM »

Drumpf’s reaction: “Reuters, which is a very very respected poll, showed that I’m beating get beat by crooked Hillary pretty easily.”
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