Clinton vs Trump Primary County Map
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Author Topic: Clinton vs Trump Primary County Map  (Read 784 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: June 17, 2016, 05:40:59 AM »
« edited: June 19, 2016, 07:01:41 PM by President Griffin »

Same premise as this map, but measuring the primary results of Trump/Clinton against each other.

Ugh, so first of all...I'm doing this by hand, county-by-county, because I can't find any online resource where the data is either organized into a spreadsheet or listed in neat rows that can be copied/pasted/configured. This would allow me to generate a shapefile map quite quickly (and this is why I hope Dave fixes this issue).

So I'm not done yet and I got bored while messing around with MI, but I'm sure I'll finish this in the coming days and weeks. The hardest/most boring counties to do by hand are the ones remaining.





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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2016, 08:38:47 AM »

Cheesy
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2016, 09:35:41 AM »

Isn't Idaho a split state? The Dems had a caucus and the Republicans had a primary. It seems like that would be hard to compare.
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Hydera
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« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2016, 10:00:29 AM »

Interesting how it shows a democrat victory in a lot of Southern states is dependent on impossibly ultra-high turnout by Black voters.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #4 on: June 17, 2016, 10:36:10 AM »

Isn't Idaho a split state? The Dems had a caucus and the Republicans had a primary. It seems like that would be hard to compare.

Same with Kentucky, except the other way around.
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: June 17, 2016, 01:26:32 PM »

Are you using the Washington primary or caucus results for Clinton's vote totals? Washington had both a Democratic primary and a caucus, and the primary had many more votes yet rewarded no delegates.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #6 on: June 17, 2016, 02:02:05 PM »

Isn't Idaho a split state? The Dems had a caucus and the Republicans had a primary. It seems like that would be hard to compare.

I'm not really sure why I included Idaho in these maps. It was just close enough in terms of ratio for me to say, "hey, what the hell?".


Same with Kentucky, except the other way around.

Kentucky's "caucus" really isn't one, though, right (an actual precinct-by-precinct gathering that takes hours)? I was thinking it was like how the IA GOP caucus is a "caucus", but even less so.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #7 on: June 17, 2016, 02:28:00 PM »

Are you using the Washington primary or caucus results for Clinton's vote totals? Washington had both a Democratic primary and a caucus, and the primary had many more votes yet rewarded no delegates.

For any affected states, I used the election with the largest number of votes cast (so for WA/NE, primaries).
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: June 17, 2016, 02:36:20 PM »

There were a lot of surprises I noticed in this map, but the one that probably surprised me the most is Colbert County, AL (that far northern one that Clinton won). It's a 81% white, 16% black county. Romney won 59% of the vote in 2012. Clinton barely eked out a victory against Trump here (50.13%).

Apparently this county is still heavily Dixiecrat at the local level; I don't see how else this could have happened, considering that Clinton's share of the Democratic primary vote here wasn't abnormally high compared to the rest of the area, she bombed in the surrounding counties against Trump and some of those counties have comparable black populations.

Overall, the GOP primary had 57% of votes cast; Dems 43%.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2016, 10:57:05 AM »

Clinton beat Trump in Ozaukee and Sheboygan.

I can't...
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