Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream
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  Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream
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Author Topic: Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream  (Read 773 times)
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« on: June 19, 2016, 12:36:56 PM »

http://www.wral.com/road-to-270-donald-trump-stuck-on-gop-s-california-dream/15790059/

[quote]Donald Trump's prediction that he can capture the biggest prize in the November presidential election, the state's 55 electoral votes, rubs up against a dismal history for Republicans over a generation. The names on the ballot have changed, but the outcome has been the same — double-digit wins for Democrats since 1992.

Here's Trump's challenge: unite Republicans while finding millions of new supporters in a state where Democrats hold every statewide office and both chambers of the Legislature. They also have a 3.1 million edge in voters, a number equal to the population of Iowa.

Trump's state director, Tim Clark, emphasized that Trump's supporters are strongly motivated in a year when many voters are looking for candidates from beyond Washington. As an outsider, Trump could appeal to a vast pool of dormant voters soured on status quo politics, Clark said.

"Elections are won by those who show up, and those who show up are those motivated by their candidate," Clark added.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2016, 12:42:49 PM »

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Boston Bread
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2016, 12:49:48 PM »

I hope he spends as much money and time on CA as possible.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2016, 01:45:01 PM »

More evidence, were it needed, that Trump is not some sort of political genius, but a malign narcissistic idiot who fell into the right pool of feces at the right time.
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Ljube
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2016, 02:11:37 PM »

He is not serious about California.

He will probably lose the state by a record margin.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2016, 02:19:37 PM »

He is not serious about California.

He will probably lose the state by a record margin.


How do you know he's not serious? People said the same thing about NY, which he has been claiming for months he thinks he'll win, but he just recently hired a pollster for the state.
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Former Senator Haslam2020
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2016, 02:24:33 PM »

He is not serious about California.

He will probably lose the state by a record margin.

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2016, 02:24:57 PM »

It would be hilarious if CA/NY are within single digits, but Hillary still wins FL or PA and therefore the election.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2016, 02:38:38 PM »

He is not serious about California.

He will probably lose the state by a record margin.

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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2016, 03:45:40 PM »

It would be hilarious if CA/NY are within single digits, but Hillary still wins FL or PA and therefore the election.

I could totally see that happening with NY (and a CA-sized area of the Northeast in general), but there's just no way Trump does more than marginally better than Romney in CA.  He likely does substantially worse.  IF there's a swing state that ruins a narrow PV win for Trump, I think it will be Florida, primarily because the Miami Cuban community goes from 50/50 in 2012 to 2/1 for Clinton.

You can totally see Trump getting 44-46% of the vote in NY? I really can't.
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Ljube
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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2016, 03:49:44 PM »

It would be hilarious if CA/NY are within single digits, but Hillary still wins FL or PA and therefore the election.

I could totally see that happening with NY (and a CA-sized area of the Northeast in general), but there's just no way Trump does more than marginally better than Romney in CA.  He likely does substantially worse.  IF there's a swing state that ruins a narrow PV win for Trump, I think it will be Florida, primarily because the Miami Cuban community goes from 50/50 in 2012 to 2/1 for Clinton.

You can totally see Trump getting 44-46% of the vote in NY? I really can't.

Me neither. Trump will lose New York by a wide margin.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2016, 04:24:08 PM »

I actually think California is the safest D state there is in this particular election. Even safer than Maryland and Vermont.
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LLR
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2016, 04:35:32 PM »

I actually think California is the safest D state there is in this particular election. Even safer than Maryland and Vermont.

Hawaii and Vermont are safer.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #13 on: June 19, 2016, 11:00:26 PM »

HI is safer but I have Clinton over 70 percent in CA.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: June 21, 2016, 04:49:53 PM »

HI is safer but I have Clinton over 70 percent in CA.

No way will that ever happen, lol. Even with a complete implosion and landslide loss he'd still crack 30%.
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