Predict Florida to the best of your ability.

[Xing]

I know it's early, but what are people currently predicting for Florida? Right now, I'm guessing Hillary wins by 2.1%.

[Suck my caulk]

I live here, and can attest that white voters are rallied and ready to get out and vote for Trump. Demographics suggest Clinton will win, but Trump will do much better in Florida than Romney or McCain did, and will probably lose the state by <1%, similar to his results in Ohio, Iowa, and Colorado.

[Ronnie]

Clinton by ~10 points, I think.

[Wisconsin+17]

[Nyvin]

Hillary Clinton will have a larger margin than Obama 2012...that's pretty much all I feel confident about.

[Redban]

Florida is a state that leans Republican, as it has voted more right of the nation every election since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Unless Trump messes up, he should win this state by at least 1%. If he loses here, then he is losing the national vote (and election) by a fair margin.

[Nyvin]

Florida is a state that leans Republican, as it has voted more right of the nation every election since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Unless Trump messes up, he should win this state by at least 1%. If he loses here, then he is losing the national vote (and election) by a fair margin.

It's also one of the fastest growing states in the country.

[PresidentTRUMP]

Trump 51%
Clinton 49%

[Sir Mohamed]

✓ Hillary Clinton: 51.0%
Donald Trump: 46.7%
Gary Johnson: 1.9%

[VPH]

You even see the panhandle swinging towards Clinton? I figure that area will be VERY strong for Trump and will remain that way.

[skoods]

Clinton - 51
Trump - 47

I see Florida being tighter than PA and VA but not as close as NC or OH

[i4indyguy]

Voted 5-10% but I really only think it will be about 5%.
Clinton will do an OK job keeping most of the Obama voters intact, but have significantly elevated latino support and very modest gains in upscale suburban I-4 corridor areas. 
Trump will moderately bleed turnout among reliable republican voters (but not core trump voters) due to servere lack of organization and GOTV ground game, as well as reservations about his candidacy. Sen Rubio being on the ballot could help negate some of this.  He will be very strong from the panhandle down to gainsville, but it simply wont be enough.

My guess... Clinton 5%, range 3%-6%

[Devils30]

Yes, Clinton will get over 60% in Orange, 65% in Dade and do better than Obama 2012 in Palm Beach, Broward, Hillsborough. She may also flip a county like Sarasota if she wins by a lot. Volusia is a solid place for Trump so if Hillary somehow won there it would likely be a weak flip.

[windjammer]

5-10%
Not going to be close.

[TDAS04]

4%, assuming she wins by 6% nationally. 

[Senator-elect Spark]

Trump wins by <1%. He builds on Romney's totals in Volusia, Palm Beach, and wins Hillsborough county.
Give or take Monroe county, it should be close.

[F_S_USATN]

I went with Clinton +1.8.

We get new Quinnipiac FL, OH and PA polls out in the morning

[President Johnson]

KING TRUMP: 50.01%
Hillary: 48.95%
Gary Johnson: 0.91%

[Wisconsin+17]

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It still is. The place to focus on will be St. Pete come election night and the west coast of Florida. That swings away from Trump, he loses the election. I am very pessimistic on Trump in Florida.

[Mallow]

Florida is a state that leans Republican, as it has voted more right of the nation every election since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Unless Trump messes up, he should win this state by at least 1%. If he loses here, then he is losing the national vote (and election) by a fair margin.

He'll lose the national vote (and election) by a fair margin.

My best guess is it's gonna be a Clinton +7.5 national margin, and that gives me something like this in Florida:
Clinton - 50.0%
Trump - 46.0%

[Mallow]

Florida is a state that leans Republican, as it has voted more right of the nation every election since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Unless Trump messes up, he should win this state by at least 1%. If he loses here, then he is losing the national vote (and election) by a fair margin.

He'll lose the national vote (and election) by a fair margin.

My best guess is it's gonna be a Clinton +7.5 national margin, and that gives me something like this in Florida:
Clinton - 50.0%
Trump - 46.0%

It's impossible that Hillary will match (or surpass) Obama's 2008 performance.

She may not, but the word "impossible" seems like a stretch here. Bookmarked for posterity.

[Podgy the Bear]

Hillary             49%
Trump             46%
Stein/Johnson   5%


She'll do even better than Obama in Broward, Miami Dade, and Palm Beach counties, and she will roll up impressive numbers in and around the Orlando area.  That should be enough to offset the Panhandle, the Villages, and the southwest part of the state.

[Wells]

Clinton 53.1%
Trump 40.6%
Stein/Johnson 6.4%

This election is a landslide waiting to happen. Trump is going to collapse completely.

[NewYorkExpress]

Clinton 50%
Trump 44%
Johnson/Stein 6%
Write-in/Other 1%

[Chaddyr23]

Clinton: 48.5
Trump: 47.6
Other: 3.9

If Trump wins it would be very close to the 2014 Gubernatorial result.