Which state will Trump have a harder time flipping?

[MT Treasurer]

This would have seemed like a crazy question in the past, but now it's apparently not so clear anymore.

[Green Line]

Florida. 

[Human]

Pennsylvania

[Redban]

Pennsylvania.

Florida is a lean R state, as it basically finished in a tie in 2012 and has not voted more D than the nation since Jimmy Carter.

PA, on the other, has been called "fool's gold" because no GOP could successfully get those stubborn 2-4% needed to win. I have to see a Republican win PA to believe it.

[5280]

PA

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The highest Trump has polled in PA is 46%, back in October. There is no indication he can win it outside of Trump fetishists's delusions.

[MT Treasurer]

The highest Trump has polled in PA is 46%, back in October.

Trump hasn't polled above 44% in FL since last November. So FL is safe D too, I guess?

[Kevin]

The way things are going he'll likely win nether.

If I had to pick though it would be PA.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The highest Trump has polled in PA is 46%, back in October.

Trump hasn't polled above 44% in FL since last November. So FL is safe D too, I guess?

I missed that. I seem to remember Trump polling very well in FL early this year, guess I was wrong.

[angus]

pennsylvania, I suppose.  Neither is likely, although county maps can be deceiving.  Here are the results from 2012:




The red areas are small, but they are where the people live.  Also, pennsylvania state budget is one long mess, and I think people here blame the legislature and they associate with Republican policies, so even if it weren't Trump, it'd be a tall order.  Given that it's Trump, I think it's an impossibly tall order. 

On the other hand, the competition is Hillary Clinton.