How can TRUMP win without Florida? (user search)
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  How can TRUMP win without Florida? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How can TRUMP win without Florida?  (Read 1541 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
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Posts: 28,891
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: June 21, 2016, 01:39:49 PM »

How can TRUMP win without the Sunshine State?

Florida may be a tough one; maybe even harder than Pennsylvania or Wisconsin. I'm still confidant he will capture the state's 29 electoral votes. But if not, is it already over?

The most realistic way I see is that here (possibly with Wisconsin and New Hampshire):



272 - 266


Without Virginia:



273 - 265

Without Virginia and New Hampshire (without ME-2 would produce a 269-269 tie and give him the election through the House):



270 - 268
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,891
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2016, 01:56:55 PM »

Trump isn't polling well in WI, but he's also polling terribly EVERYWHERE (including Utah). Does that make every state safe D? VA will not vote R before FL, no way that happens.

Likely correct. Some obeservers wrote that he may do well in Wisconsin due to the large white population. Even higher than in Pennsylvania.
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