FL-Gravis: Nelson leads Scott

[MT Treasurer]

51% Bill Nelson (D, inc.)
38% Rick Scott (R)

50% Bill Nelson (D, inc.)
35% Pam Bondi (R)

Obama approval: 51/43 (+8)
Trump approval: 41/48 (-7)
Scott approval: 38/45 (-7)

Link.

[Maxwell]

I wouldn't under-estimate Rick Scott - he's literally lord voldemort but he managed to get re-elected despite an approval rating which hovered at the mid to low 30s most of his term. Bondi, however, would be a treasure trove of scandal and I would love for Nelson to crush her in 2018.

My greatest fear is Carlos Curbelo jumping into the Senate race, but it seems like he isn't going to do that.

[jamestroll]

I would not underestimate Rick Scott.

It is kind of sucky for Trump that he is already underwater in a state that he won! even if barely!

Florida is a good argument against the notion that demographics will save Democrats. They won't.

My ratings have Nelson favored early on.

[windjammer]

I would not underestimate Rick Scott too.

[MT Treasurer]

I wouldn't under-estimate Rick Scott - he's literally lord voldemort but he managed to get re-elected despite an approval rating which hovered at the mid to low 30s most of his term.

I agree. Didn't he trail Charlie Crist by 15 points in 2013? And yeah, I'm pretty sure he will be the GOP nominee, not Pam Bondi.

[Maxwell]

I wouldn't under-estimate Rick Scott - he's literally lord voldemort but he managed to get re-elected despite an approval rating which hovered at the mid to low 30s most of his term.

I agree. Didn't he trail Charlie Crist by 15 points in 2013? And yeah, I'm pretty sure he will be the GOP nominee, not Pam Bondi.

it might've been more than 15.

Yep, first PPP for this race showed Crist beating Scott by TWENTY TWO points.

[Gass3268]

Bill Nelson is no Charlie Christ either

[jamestroll]

I wouldn't under-estimate Rick Scott - he's literally lord voldemort but he managed to get re-elected despite an approval rating which hovered at the mid to low 30s most of his term.

I agree. Didn't he trail Charlie Crist by 15 points in 2013? And yeah, I'm pretty sure he will be the GOP nominee, not Pam Bondi.

it might've been more than 15.

Yep, first PPP for this race showed Crist beating Scott by TWENTY TWO points.

I still would not assume a uniform swing and assume that Scott will earn 61% of the vote in 2018. The fundamentals and dynamics of that election are going to be quite different.

[Skye]

Again, I wouldn't underestimate Scott. But Nelson is a relatively popular incumbent, so we'll have to wait and see. Plus, the election is in 2 years.

[Heisenberg]

Bondi would be a terrible candidate. I would have liked to see Rooney and/or DeSantis included in hypothetical polls. Also, not sure Curbelo would be that great. For some reason I get the feeling that a fair number of people don't want the Cuban machine holding both Senate seats. I can see Rick Scott closing in the gap as time goes by, but I don't think he'll win. I do think he is a great wave insurance candidate, although Rooney or DeSantis might be better.

[Young Conservative]

Lol Gravis