Of all the states that have a Republican governor now....
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  Of all the states that have a Republican governor now....
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Poll
Question: ...which state is hardest for a strong Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win even under ideal circumstances?
#1
Alabama
 
#2
Arizona
 
#3
Arkansas
 
#4
Florida
 
#5
Georgia
 
#6
Idaho
 
#7
Illinois
 
#8
Indiana
 
#9
Iowa
 
#10
Kansas
 
#11
Kentucky
 
#12
Maine
 
#13
Maryland
 
#14
Massachussets
 
#15
Michigan
 
#16
Mississippi
 
#17
Nebraska
 
#18
Nevada
 
#19
New Jersey
 
#20
New Mexico
 
#21
North Carolina
 
#22
North Dakota
 
#23
Ohio
 
#24
Oklahoma
 
#25
South Carolina
 
#26
South Dakota
 
#27
Tennessee
 
#28
Texas
 
#29
Utah
 
#30
Wisconsin
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Of all the states that have a Republican governor now....  (Read 2106 times)
Kingpoleon
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« Reply #25 on: June 25, 2016, 12:39:28 AM »

Alabama or Wyoming (although the latter is not listed, for some reason). I'm guessing Gary Trauner would be the best bet for Democrats in Wyoming, and we could always run Jim Matheson in Utah for top-tier recruits, but both would be uphill battles. I can't think of a Democrat who could win a statewide election in Alabama until the state becomes majority black, and that doesn't seem to be happening for quite some time now.
Wyoming. Alabama has a small group of Democrats. Wyoming just has Republicans as far as the eye can see.

Yeah Wyoming isn't listed as an option in the poll, but that's what I would answer to this question.


You four, Wyoming elected a Democratic Attorney General, Gregory A. Philips, in 2010. He'll turn 58 in 2018 and will have had two years as state attorney general and six years as a judge for the Tenth Circuit.

Other than their state legislators, all Wyoming Democrats who could be competitive are on the bench like Sandoval was. This includes Nancy Freudenthal, who will be 64 in 2018.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #26 on: June 25, 2016, 09:48:18 PM »

You four, Wyoming elected a Democratic Attorney General, Gregory A. Philips, in 2010. He'll turn 58 in 2018 and will have had two years as state attorney general and six years as a judge for the Tenth Circuit.

Other than their state legislators, all Wyoming Democrats who could be competitive are on the bench like Sandoval was. This includes Nancy Freudenthal, who will be 64 in 2018.

That's an appointed position tho
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Zioneer
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« Reply #27 on: June 26, 2016, 11:03:48 AM »

Here's the difference between Utah and the other deeply Republican states; many of the other states in fact ran their best candidates and elected Democratic governors. Utah did not.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #28 on: July 03, 2016, 04:43:26 PM »

Texas honestly, even minorities in Texas are almost 50/50 Democrat in Texas, so demographic changes won't have much effect. 
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #29 on: July 03, 2016, 05:30:54 PM »

Texas honestly, even minorities in Texas are almost 50/50 Democrat in Texas, so demographic changes won't have much effect. 
Yes. Texan minorities (especially Hispanics) are WAY more Republican than their non-Texan counterparts. Greg Abbott even won the Hispanic male vote, and maybe even the total Hispanic vote (he did lose the Hispanic female vote). Perry consistently got 40-50 percent, and Cruz got 42% or so. Also, TX-27 is a majority-minority district (58% non-White) and it still has a PVI of R+13!
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #30 on: July 03, 2016, 10:35:32 PM »

Utah, hands down.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #31 on: July 07, 2016, 09:33:40 PM »

Texas honestly, even minorities in Texas are almost 50/50 Democrat in Texas, so demographic changes won't have much effect. 

No a Democrat like John Sharp could totally become Governor and that is pretty much it.
I looked him up and I don't see what's so special about him. Plus he's not running, I don't think. He has a nice job as chancellor of the large Texas A&M University system, not to mention he lost two races for Lieutenant Governor.
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