Brexit's effect on US General Election

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

No impact on prediction markets.

Prediction Markets are useless as proven by the fact that jeb was at 40% through November

That's because his campaign was literally spending campaign funds on them to boost his numbers. Seriously, that actually happened.

Source?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

BaconKing said it in IRC.

[ProudModerate2]

The markets will be wild for the next week or so, but will settle-down soon afterwards.
The entire process of unwinding from the E.U. will take approx. 2 years, so there will be very little to no effect for our election in only 5 months.

On a different note, I can see Scotland voting once again to leave the UK, and winning this time.
There is also rumors of Northern Ireland leaving, and possibly merging with the Republic of Ireland as one nation ; doubt the Ireland merger will take place.

[LLR]

Will Trump meet Boris Johnson?

Someone asked Trump that on Twitter, Trump said he didn't even know who he is.

This is the perfect metaphor for this entire election season.

[egalitt]

Cameron stated that negotiations with EU would be postponed till October when a new PM is elected.
The negotiations will take about 2 years.
According to EU constitution a member state can exit on condition that 75% of all member states agree to it.
Conclusion: No Brexit will take place.  It has been a fraud to imitate democracy.

[Lyin' Steve]

Honestly I think this helps Clinton.  It's showing people the consequences of the road Trump wants to take America down.  The worse the economy gets, especially in the UK, and the more news coverage the negative fallout gets, the more afraid people will get as American public opinion overwhelmingly turns against Brexit.  Clinton can then run ads juxtaposing her being against it with Trump being for it.

[Kingpoleon]

No impact on prediction markets.

Do you know how to check stock markets? Just checking the headlines I found:

USA Today: U. S. stocks hammered as Brexit continues to rock markets

BBC: Pound plunges after Leave vote

[egalitt]

No impact on prediction markets.

Do you know how to check stock markets? Just checking the headlines I found:

USA Today: U. S. stocks hammered as Brexit continues to rock markets

BBC: Pound plunges after Leave vote

Financial turmoil will end in a week when everybody realizes that there will be no Brexit.

[Stranger in a strange land]

No impact on prediction markets.

Do you know how to check stock markets? Just checking the headlines I found:

USA Today: U. S. stocks hammered as Brexit continues to rock markets

BBC: Pound plunges after Leave vote

Financial turmoil will end in a week when everybody realizes that there will be no Brexit.

Even if there is buyer's remorse, I doubt such a drastic action can be overturned so easily.

[egalitt]

No "drastic action"  at all. Pure sham. A week is ample time to realize it.
In April the Dutch (the overwhelming majority)   voted on a referendum against association with Ukraine. And what of it? The results were safely ignored by the government to produce no impact on EU at all. That was a good example of European democracy in action.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

No impact on prediction markets.

Do you know how to check stock markets? Just checking the headlines I found:

USA Today: U. S. stocks hammered as Brexit continues to rock markets

BBC: Pound plunges after Leave vote

LMAO. I said PREDICTION markets. Focus on your reading comprehension.

[mgop]

lmao now you voting "like americans care" but if "remain" won then it woult be obama/killary victory... silly little hillbots, how much you get paid for your globalist "views". you lose now, you will lose in november.

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

Hopefully Texas doesn't get any ideas from this. The road to victory for Republicans significantly decreases without Texas in the picture.

I disagree on that being a bad thing...

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I think a Brexit would embolden nationalist sentiment.  Trump's tweet on a successful Brexit vote would look something like this:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I will now accept my accolades.

Well, kind of.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/746289394231828480

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/746289768707698688

I will now accept my accolades.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/746272130992644096

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hopefully Texas doesn't get any ideas from this. The road to victory for Republicans significantly decreases without Texas in the picture.

I disagree on that being a bad thing...

I disagree with you thinking that that would be a good thing.
Texas belongs in the US come hell or high water.

[LLR]

lmao now you voting "like americans care" but if "remain" won then it woult be obama/killary victory... silly little hillbots, how much you get paid for your globalist "views". you lose now, you will lose in november.

Except that we're still likely to win because that's what the polls say. People have been saying since the beginning of this thread, when a remain win was likely, that nobody cared. Check your facts, kid.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Hopefully Texas doesn't get any ideas from this. The road to victory for Republicans significantly decreases without Texas in the picture.

I disagree on that being a bad thing...

I disagree with you thinking that that would be a good thing.
Texas belongs in the US come hell or high water.

The nuclear option for Texas is not secession.  The nuclear option for Texas is gerrymandering the state into five guaranteed-Republican states (or one heavily Democratic state and four heavily Republican states), unilaterally dividing, and stacking the Senate with that many more Republicans.  They are authorized to do this under US law.

[wolfsblood07]

Absolutely.  Nationalism is on the rise!  People want their country back.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

Hopefully Texas doesn't get any ideas from this. The road to victory for Republicans significantly decreases without Texas in the picture.

I disagree on that being a bad thing...

I disagree with you thinking that that would be a good thing.
Texas belongs in the US come hell or high water.

Exactly, this place is so backwards it could not stand on its own.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hopefully Texas doesn't get any ideas from this. The road to victory for Republicans significantly decreases without Texas in the picture.

I disagree on that being a bad thing...

I disagree with you thinking that that would be a good thing.
Texas belongs in the US come hell or high water.

Exactly, this place is so backwards it could not stand on its own.

Eh, Texas=/=backwards.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The nuclear option for Texas is not secession.  The nuclear option for Texas is gerrymandering the state into five guaranteed-Republican states (or one heavily Democratic state and four heavily Republican states), unilaterally dividing, and stacking the Senate with that many more Republicans.  They are authorized to do this under US law.

Texas no longer has the right to split into five states, although this is a common myth.  It could have done so only between the time that the Republic of Texas accepted joining the United States and the time the state of Texas was admitted to the Union by Congress.  When Texas was admitted as a state, it was then on an equal footing with all other states, superseding any laws or agreements of the previous Republic of Texas.  

For way more details than anyone probably wants, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/slg/explanation-texas-statehood-issues.phtml.

[Ebsy]

The fantasy of Texas secession is just that: a fantasy.

[Mehmentum]

The idea that any U.S. state would secede is laughable. 

62% of Scotts consider themselves Scottish and not British.

How many Texans do you think consider themselves Texan but not American?  I can't imagine that number is even 1%.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

The idea that any U.S. state would secede is laughable. 

62% of Scotts consider themselves Scottish and not British.

How many Texans do you think consider themselves Texan but not American?  I can't imagine that number is even 1%.

Texans considered themselves American even when Texas was an independent republic.  They were an outpost waiting for inclusion into the homeland, to protect their God-given rights to life, liberty, and the freedom to own other human beings.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The idea that any U.S. state would secede is laughable. 

62% of Scotts consider themselves Scottish and not British.

How many Texans do you think consider themselves Texan but not American?  I can't imagine that number is even 1%.

One of the most ridiculous claims I have heard on atlas forum for quite some time, and that's saying a lot.