AR-Hendrix College: Trump +11 (user search)
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  AR-Hendrix College: Trump +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR-Hendrix College: Trump +11  (Read 2638 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: June 26, 2016, 10:12:24 AM »

Makes sense.

There's probably a trend back from Obama (who did terrible there) to Hillary.

It was R+28 in 2012 and based on current polling it's R+17 ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2016, 10:22:27 AM »

Another sign how far AR has moved to the GOP in the past 20 or so years:

In 2004, Kerry lost it by 10 and he lost by 2 nationally.

Now, Hillary (who was supposed to have a "home state" bonus there) is also down by 11, but ahead by 6 nationally.

So, AR was R+8 in 2004 and R+17 now, even with AR's "favourite daughter" on the ticket ...

Not as bad as in 2008 and 2012 with Obama though ...
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