CA-GOV 2018-Kevin Faulconer declines to run

[Pragmatic Conservative]

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Faulconer has since been re-elected as San Diego Mayor.

Link http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/2016/may/24/faulconer-no-run-for-governor/

Source: San Diego Union-Tribune

[Maxwell]

He could change his mind between now and then, but if he follows through with this, it's pretty tough to see Cali Republicans winning the Governorship.

Guess they gotta look out for Swearengin next.

[Mike Thick]

Honestly, I don't think even he could have won. Us Cali Republicans are in pretty bad shape, and outside of some kind of unprecedentedly ginormous Republican wave we probably won't win any statewide offices, let alone the Governorship.

[Kingpoleon]

When does his term expire? He might be prepping for 2022, but he's a little old for that.

[Heisenberg]

When does his term expire? He might be prepping for 2022, but he's a little old for that.

His term ends in 2020, SD mayors serve four year terms (his first election in 2014 was a special election). And he'll be 55 in 2022, that's not old at all.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Smart man.

[Horsemask]

Unfortunate but not completely unexpected

[Indy Texas]

Could he have a shot running as a Moderate Hero Independent?

[BuckeyeNut]

Honestly, I don't think even he could have won. Us Cali Republicans are in pretty bad shape, and outside of some kind of unprecedentedly ginormous Republican wave we probably won't win any statewide offices, let alone the Governorship.

Hey, maybe the CA Dems will put up the next Ed Fitzgerald. You never know.

[andrew_c]

Looks like it's going to be another D vs D race.

[NeverAgain]

I wouldn't be surprised if he goes for Congress in 2020.

[DrScholl]

California is to Republicans what Texas is to Democrats when it comes to winning statewide. Whitman spent millions of dollars in a strong Republican year and lost by double digits, so I can't see any Republican wanting to step up to run for Governor.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I hope someone better than DLC Gavin Newsom runs.

[Heisenberg]

Honestly, I don't think even he could have won. Us Cali Republicans are in pretty bad shape, and outside of some kind of unprecedentedly ginormous Republican wave we probably won't win any statewide offices, let alone the Governorship.

That's true unfortunately.

California is to Republicans what Texas is to Democrats when it comes to winning statewide. Whitman spent millions of dollars in a strong Republican year and lost by double digits, so I can't see any Republican wanting to step up to run for Governor.

I agree, but with the top-two system, and lots of competitive House seats, Republicans can't afford to be shut out of the top statewide races, it would hurt them in downballot races, like the House.

I wouldn't be surprised if he goes for Congress in 2020.

He'd be a great candidate for CA-52.

[Mike Thick]

Honestly, I don't think even he could have won. Us Cali Republicans are in pretty bad shape, and outside of some kind of unprecedentedly ginormous Republican wave we probably won't win any statewide offices, let alone the Governorship.

Hey, maybe the CA Dems will put up the next Ed Fitzgerald. You never know.

This is what I always hope will happen, but there are just too many people here that will vote Democrat no matter what.

The only way I can see a Republican winning statewide is similar circumstances to Ohio 2014 -- a moderate Republican being put up against a Democrat who runs an awful campaign during a huge wave. Even then, it would be tough.

[Holmes]

Honestly, I don't think even he could have won. Us Cali Republicans are in pretty bad shape, and outside of some kind of unprecedentedly ginormous Republican wave we probably won't win any statewide offices, let alone the Governorship.

Look for California Democrats to make more gains in the next national Republican wave.

I hope someone better than DLC Gavin Newsom runs.

Funny. My Sanders obsessed husband loves Newsom.

[Mike Thick]

Honestly, I don't think even he could have won. Us Cali Republicans are in pretty bad shape, and outside of some kind of unprecedentedly ginormous Republican wave we probably won't win any statewide offices, let alone the Governorship.

Look for California Democrats to make more gains in the next national Republican wave.

I hope someone better than DLC Gavin Newsom runs.

Funny. My Sanders obsessed husband loves Newsom.

I don't know if I'm expecting gains, per se, as CA Dems already hold all statewide offices and both Senaye seats, along with most swingy Congressional seats. But I am expecting a lot of D vs. D statewide generals and more D vs. D Congressional races than previously. I also think Democrats are likely to get back their State Legislature supermajorities and hold them, very soon.

[Sir Mohamed]

I think he’s the only GOPer who could have won. Arnie will remain CA’s last GOP governor for a very very long time.

[Kingpoleon]

Newsom will be very strong in the general election. I doubt Faulconer feared Chiang.

Maybe Condoleezza Rice will run. She tied Kamala Harris in the runoff IIRC.

[Mike Thick]

Newsom will be very strong in the general election. I doubt Faulconer feared Chiang.

Maybe Condoleezza Rice will run. She tied Kamala Harris in the runoff IIRC.

She would be a good candidate (although I have doubts even she could win), but Condi Rice will not run for anything, ever. Period.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/02/24/condoleezza-rice-is-the-gops-white-whale/

This is compounded by the fact that she has said she is satisfied with her academic career.

[Хahar 🤔]

Newsom is generally despised but he'll win anyway.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

I think I'm going to try to be involved in the Chiang campaign. I like him as a person and I think his positions fit more in line with me than Newsom.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

I think I'm going to try to be involved in the Chiang campaign. I like him as a person and I think his positions fit more in line with me than Newsom.

Excellent.

Also, here's a megathread for the CA gubernatorial race: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=237106.25

[Mike Thick]

Perhaps the mods could merge these threads?

[hopper]

Oh well looks like CA Governor is a Dem Hold.