What kind of polling bump will Trump, Clinton get from their conventions?

[Lyin' Steve]

It's less than a month away, the next big set of events to shake up the polling.  I think most are assuming that Hillary's convention will be the better one, but both have opportunities to go wrong.  Hillary will have to deal with Bernie trying to make the convention about him and mobs of delusional Bernie bros and uncooperative Sanders delegates.  Trump can't even get anyone to speak at his convention, might face a coordinated rules or floor challenge from #NeverTrump forces, and could screw up in a typically Trump fashion.

In the end, we probably won't get to see the individual bumps for each candidate because the conventions fall so close to each other, polling will probably only show the aftermath of both.  But what kind of bump do you expect each candidate to get?  Could they actually drop if one of the conventions is chaotic enough?

[NeverAgain]

I am confused on this poll, are you asking who is going to get a bigger bump or what?

[Bull Moose Base]

I do genuinely expect Trump to lose ground from his convention. First ever to do so?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

We should get to pick 2.

Trump down more than 2, Hillary up 5.

Nothing like the 13.6% bump Bill Clinton got in 1992.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Trump up 2, Hillary up 1

[Lyin' Steve]

Ugh yep should have made it pick two.  Really wish Atlas let you edit polls.  Just pick whichever you're more confident in!