1996 with Alexander/McCain as Republican ticket

[DanielX]

What happens? Bob Dole, for whatever reason, does not run for the 1996 Republican party nomination. After a contested primary,  Lamar Alexander, former Tennessee Governor and Secretary of Education, wins. He picks Sen. John McCain of Arizona as his runningmate.

I figure that this is a very good ticket for the Republicans to run. Alexander is a fairly popular Southerner who did rather well as Governor of Tennessee - and would be thus vastly better at winning the South then Dole or the elder Bush. McCain's a charismatic war veteran and a perceived moderate. Both Tennessee and Arizona went for Clinton in the real 1996.

Now, with Perot still in the race, Clinton is still most likely the victor, but it'll be much, much more competitive.

[DanielX]

Same results, just switch Kentucky, Tennessee, and Arizona.  These maps the Republicans have posted are laughably optimistic.

On the contrary, I think Plummyman's result is the most realistic one so far. Winfield's, on the other hand, would require Perot not to run.