Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 42% Trump 40%

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac national poll, conducted June 21-27:

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2363

Clinton 42%
Trump 40%

4-way:

Clinton 39%
Trump 37%
Johnson 8%
Stein 4%

[Mr. Morden]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

[Eraserhead]

Trump is literally in fourth place with the blacks but on the plus side for him, he can only improve from here!

[Phony Moderate]

Trump is literally in fourth place with the blacks but on the plus side for him, he can only improve from here!

Well, maybe he could go all out to win over the 1% of blacks who hold a favorable view of him, or the 2% who think he'd make a good president!

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %:
Johnson 11/11% for +/-0
Stein 5/7% for -2%
Clinton 37/57% for -20%
Trump 34/57% for -23%

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

QU continues to be ridiculous ...

[Landslide Lyndon]

TRUMP getting 33% of Hispanics?
Sure.

[ElectionsGuy]

Basically all of Stein's votes are in the 18-34 category. Bernie or Bust...

[dspNY]

Quinnipiac is drunk this cycle. Way off in favor of Sanders in the primary and way off in favor of Trump now.

The poll is 76% white (not happening, the electorate will be 72% white at most)
Trump is getting a third of Latinos (he's going to get a fifth at most)

[psychprofessor]

Quinnipiac is drunk this cycle. Way off in favor of Sanders in the primary and way off in favor of Trump now.

The poll is 76% white (not happening, the electorate will be 72% white at most)
Trump is getting a third of Latinos (he's going to get a fifth at most)

Something is a little suspicious if Trump is winning whites by only 13 but Clinton is ahead overall by 2.

[ElectionsGuy]

Quinnipiac is drunk this cycle. Way off in favor of Sanders in the primary and way off in favor of Trump now.

The poll is 76% white (not happening, the electorate will be 72% white at most)
Trump is getting a third of Latinos (he's going to get a fifth at most)

Something is a little suspicious if Trump is winning whites by only 13 but Clinton is ahead overall by 2.

There's an unusual amount of other/undecided percentage this election so being ahead by 13 in the polling may mean he may win by 16 or 17 or possibly more in the end. Same goes with all categories (except Blacks, who are nearly unanimous for Clinton)

[Sir Mohamed]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

LOL! That's truely a special relationship (though I doubt the poll is very acurate in general)

[Seriously?]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

0? Come on now. Obviously a small subsample thing. Trump is getting between 5-15% of the black vote most likely. Black Republicans do exist.

[Dr. Arch]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

0? Come on now. Obviously a small subsample thing. Trump is getting between 5-15% of the black vote most likely. Black Republicans do exist.

15%. GL with that.

[Ebsy]

Junk!

[Likely Voter]

FWIW Trump actually tweeted about this poll...

You must be logged in to read this quote.

He has now tweeted only two polls in the last month (the other being Gravis showing him down 2).  So Trump has picked his favorite pollsters for the General.

[IceSpear]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

LMAO. Obvious junk poll though.

[Ljube]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

LMAO. Obvious junk poll though.

Indeed. All polls are junk. The election is too fluid. That's why the polls are still unreliable.

[Seriously?]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

0? Come on now. Obviously a small subsample thing. Trump is getting between 5-15% of the black vote most likely. Black Republicans do exist.

15%. GL with that.

Historically, it's possible. More likely than not, it's 92-8 or 90-10 or there abouts.

[cwt]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

LMAO. Obvious junk poll though.

Indeed. All polls are junk. The election is too fluid. That's why the polls are still unreliable.

They were reliable during the primaries.

[IceSpear]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

LMAO. Obvious junk poll though.

Indeed. All polls are junk. The election is too fluid. That's why the polls are still unreliable.

I'm not taking any of them too seriously right now. We'll see the true state of the race after the DNC bounce recedes. After that, it'll basically be just the debates and unknown external events that could shape the race from that baseline.

[Desroko]

I need a Chrome extension that automatically blocks anyone who uses the phrase "junk poll". It would save me a lot of time.

Random error is an actual real thing, people. It's expected. It's not "junk".

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I need a Chrome extension that automatically blocks anyone who uses the phrase "junk poll". It would save me a lot of time.

Random error is an actual real thing, people. It's expected. It's not "junk".

QU isn't random error, it's been consistent.

[Desroko]

I need a Chrome extension that automatically blocks anyone who uses the phrase "junk poll". It would save me a lot of time.

Random error is an actual real thing, people. It's expected. It's not "junk".

QU isn't random error, it's been consistent.

And what abut the 18 million other polls that get the label on this site? I like having a one-stop shop for new polls, but Christ, the commentary here is awful. There's ten randos who know f*** all about statistics shouting "junk poll!" in every thread.

[HillOfANight]

Here’s the black vote in the 4-way matchup:

Clinton 87%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%
Trump 0%

Also, as with other polls, Johnson and Stein both tend to do well amongst youngs.  For Stein, the age gap is especially large.  She’s at 10% among voters under 35, and 1% among those over 65.

LMAO. Obvious junk poll though.

Indeed. All polls are junk. The election is too fluid. That's why the polls are still unreliable.

They were reliable during the primaries.

Not Quinnipiac

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-05-03/the-2016-guide-to-political-predictions-which-matter-and-who-was-most-underestimated