538 Model Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 538 Model Megathread  (Read 83364 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: June 29, 2016, 01:36:12 PM »

Other than AZ, it looks ok ...

I'd give AZ to Trump in a close race, because the state's laws that will block Latinos from voting.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 01:55:02 PM »

Why is Gary Johnson getting such large percentages in states where he isn't yet on the ballot, particularly in the now-cast model?

Johnson will likely be on the ballot in almost all states. The remaining states where he's not on yet have relatively low signature requirements.

Also, Jill Stein will be on most state ballots too.
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