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http://www.mediaite.com/tv/statistician-nate-silver-gives-clinton-a-near-80-probability-of-defeating-trump/

Nate Silver Gives Clinton a Near 80% Probability of Defeating Trump

“We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver said. “There’s a lot of football left to be played. She’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”